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Senators at Capitals
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Washington Capitals
▸7
FinalTV NBCSWA, TSN5·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Ottawa Senators 7-2. The Capitals came back from two goals down. The Capitals led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tom Wilson's goal at 16:57 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 23% to 38%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 1.2; shots on goal were OTT 23, WSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 88% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 18 of 24 (.750), 3.3 goals below expected; Braden Holtby stopped 21 of 23 (.913), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (2 G), 2. Lars Eller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nicklas Backstrom (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    L. Eller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT2130505223
WSHWSH29417111737

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    O. Lindberg(5)
    B. Gibbons (4), M. Paajarvi (3)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:16
  2. OTT
    A. Duclair(12)PPG
    C. Ceci (16), C. Jaros (7)
    snapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    2-0
    7:10
  3. WSH
    T. Wilson(18)
    A. Ovechkin (29), E. Kuznetsov (41)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    16:57
  4. WSH
    L. Eller(8)
    D. Orlov (16), B. Connolly (19)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    2-2
    17:50

2nd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(10)PPG
    N. Backstrom (44)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    2:38
  2. WSH
    T. Oshie(19)
    B. Orpik (5), N. Backstrom (45)
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    6:29
  3. WSH
    B. Connolly(16)
    A. Burakovsky (12), L. Eller (21)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    9:05
  4. WSH
    T. Oshie(20)
    D. Orlov (17), J. Vrana (21)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +4 pts
    2-6
    10:33

3rd period

  1. WSH
    E. Kuznetsov(17)
    A. Ovechkin (30), T. Wilson (15)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +1 pts
    2-7
    0:17

Penalties

OTT 2 PIM·WSH 2 PIM

1st

  • 5:22WSHTravis Boyd · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

2nd

  • 2:00OTTChris Tierney · Trippingdrawn by Andre Burakovsky2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalOTT goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tom Wilson, 1st 16:57 — WSH 23% → 38%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.20A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.19A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.19T. Wilson · Goal · xG 0.18J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.18A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.15B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.15T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.14T. Boyd · Missed · xG 0.14T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.13L. Eller · Goal · xG 0.12N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.12T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.10T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.09A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kuznetsov · Goal · xG 0.07B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.07C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Backstrom · Missed · xG 0.07B. Connolly · Missed · xG 0.07A. Burakovsky · On goal · xG 0.06J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.06L. Eller · On goal · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05B. Connolly · Goal · xG 0.04J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.04T. Oshie · Goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.03C. Hagelin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kempny · Missed · xG 0.02J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.02D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.02N. Backstrom · On goal · xG 0.01B. Connolly · On goal · xG 0.01M. Niskanen · On goal · xG 0.01B. Orpik · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Vrana · On goal · xG 0.01
WSH7 G · 3.8 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsWSH
1.22 G
All situations
7 G3.8
1.11 G
Even strength
6 G3.6
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT12%88%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.22 – 3.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsWSH
23
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/1
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
15
Hits
8
15
Blocked shots
8
7
Giveaways
10
8
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5C. CeciD011-210.08330—21:47
44J. PageauC000-320.021105420:00
72T. ChabotD000-310.01010—19:08
67B. HarpurD000+110.03200—18:46
7B. TkachukL000-110.012106718:45
36C. WhiteC000-110.070003118:09
2D. DeMeloD000-110.02110—17:02
15Z. SmithC000-200.001007516:30
9B. RyanR000-110.02010—16:09
56M. PaajarviL011+110.06000—16:03
71C. TierneyC000-430.091027315:47
74M. BorowieckiD000-100.02240—15:42
83C. JarosD011-230.05000—15:36
10A. DuclairL101-220.17010—15:35
24O. LindbergL101+110.151005014:33
89M. BoedkerL000-310.03000—13:57
17B. GibbonsC011020.35020013:54
86C. WolaninD000-210.04100—11:59
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)24186.7502.66-3.3430:33
41C. Anderson13121.9231.15+0.1529:27

Season series

WSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).