St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche
Recap
written from the game dataThe St. Louis Blues beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 4:01 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.1 to 2.9; shots on goal were STL 33, COL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 32 of 32 (1.000), 2.9 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jake Allen (32 saves, 1.000), 2. Vladimir Tarasenko (1 G, 1 A), 3. Semyon Varlamov (30 saves, .938).
Three stars
- ★J. Allen32 saves, 1.000

- ★★V. Tarasenko1 G, 1 A

- ★★★S. Varlamov30 saves, .938

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals3rd period
1-04:01
2-04:58
3-018:24
Penalties
1st
- 2:16
A.J. Greer · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
- 2:16
Robert Bortuzzo · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by A.J. Greer2 min
- 16:12
Patrik Nemeth · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
2nd
- 9:54
Zachary Sanford · Interferencedrawn by Alexander Kerfoot2 min
- 12:11
Brayden Schenn · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
- 12:12
Mikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Robert Bortuzzo2 min
- 12:12
Robert Bortuzzo · Slashingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
- 18:55
Gabriel Landeskog · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
3rd
- 6:45
Tyson Barrie · Trippingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min
- 11:04
Mackenzie MacEachern · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 3rd 4:01 — 48% → 74%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 4.12 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.9
- 2.42 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.1
- 0.40 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.1
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.69 – 2.85
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 33
- Shots on goal
- 32
- 45%
- Faceoffs
- 55%
- 0/3
- Power play
- 0/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 10
- 16
- Hits
- 31
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 16
- 4
- Giveaways
- 12
- 8
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
STL leads 4-0
3@
2OTFinal
3@
4OTFinal
3@
0this game
2@
3SOFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
