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St. Louis Blues at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, FS-MW·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Utah Mammoth 4-0. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vladimir Tarasenko's goal at 15:31 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 61% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were STL 24, ARI 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 21 of 21 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Vladimir Tarasenko (2 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (21 saves, 1.000), 3. Joel Edmundson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    V. Tarasenko2 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington21 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Edmundson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL271819424
ARIARI060609021

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:33
  2. STL
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    15:31

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn (26), R. Thomas (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    16:21

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    12:03

Penalties

STL 6 PIM·ARI 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:20ARIJakob Chychrun · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Bozak2 min
  • 7:39STLPatrick Maroon · Cross checkingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 15:46ARINiklas Hjalmarsson · Cross checkingdrawn by Vladimir Tarasenko2 min
  • 17:17STLOskar Sundqvist · Hookingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min

3rd

  • 12:47STLAlex Pietrangelo · Holdingdrawn by Conor Garland2 min
  • 14:56ARIClayton Keller · Hookingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalSTL goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Vladimir Tarasenko, 1st 15:31 — STL 61% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.23J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.12A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.12C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.11C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.10C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.09J. Weal · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.09O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.08C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.08A. Galchenyuk · On goal · xG 0.08C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.08B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.07B. Richardson · Missed · xG 0.07R. Panik · Missed · xG 0.07J. Weal · Missed · xG 0.06A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · Missed · xG 0.04A. Galchenyuk · Missed · xG 0.04J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.02C. Garland · Missed · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Oesterle · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.00C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.00C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI0 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsARI
1.54 G
All situations
0 G2.0
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL40%60%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.50 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsARI
24
Shots on goal
21
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
22
Hits
40
19
Blocked shots
17
12
Giveaways
10
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27A. PietrangeloD000+240.16332—24:31
19J. BouwmeesterD000010.00210—21:09
6J. EdmundsonD112+220.20120—21:02
55C. ParaykoD000010.01230—20:26
90R. O'ReillyC000010.030006419:07
10B. SchennC011+200.05100018:08
91V. TarasenkoR202+130.27210—17:41
21T. BozakC000+110.011304016:36
17J. SchwartzL011+110.001005015:26
29V. DunnD011+110.02210—15:25
20A. SteenL011+100.00010—15:08
7P. MaroonL000+110.26102—14:07
41R. BortuzzoD101+130.03020—13:56
49I. BarbashevL000010.101005012:49
18R. ThomasC011000.000105012:46
70O. SundqvistC022+200.030026412:45
12Z. SanfordL000040.28310—12:26
62M. MacEachernL000000.05200—10:32
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(W)212101.0001.96+1.9660:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).