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Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸5
Minnesota Wild
4
FinalTV FS-N, NBCSP·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Minnesota Wild 5-4. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was James van Riemsdyk's goal at 15:31 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 88%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.8, MIN 2.9; shots on goal were PHI 26, MIN 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 35 of 39 (.897), 1.1 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 21 of 26 (.808), 2.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 2 A), 3. Luke Kunin (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Spurgeon1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    L. Kunin2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI1721128526
MINMIN313011115439

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(5)
    P. Varone (3)
    deflectedxG 0.04win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:54
  2. MIN
    Z. Parise(23)PPG
    M. Granlund (33), J. Spurgeon (23)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    8:58
  3. MIN
    L. Kunin(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +13 pts
    1-2
    10:45
  4. MIN
    L. Kunin(4)
    J. Eriksson Ek (6), J. Spurgeon (24)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    13:28

2nd period

  1. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(14)PPG
    W. Simmonds (9), S. Gostisbehere (19)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    8:42
  2. PHI
    S. Couturier(24)
    T. Sanheim (15), C. Giroux (44)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    3-3
    13:57

3rd period

  1. MIN
    J. Spurgeon(11)
    R. Suter (32), M. Foligno (10)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    2:06
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(17)
    J. Voracek (35), T. Sanheim (16)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
    4-4
    6:30
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(15)PPG
    S. Couturier (26), S. Gostisbehere (20)
    wristxG 0.61win prob +35 pts
    5-4
    15:31

Penalties

PHI 12 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:19PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Hookingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 7:28PHIRadko Gudas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 14:02PHIScott Laughton · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 18:12PHIRobert Hagg · High sticking double minordrawn by Jason Zucker4 min

2nd

  • 7:37MINEric Fehr · Holdingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 10:02MINZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min
  • 14:17PHINolan Patrick · High stickingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

3rd

  • 14:11MINNick Seeler · Trippingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 18:33MINRyan Suter · Holding the stickdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPHI goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: James van Riemsdyk, 3rd 15:31 — PHI 53% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.17E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.17J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.16C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.16M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.15E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.14L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.14J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.13J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.06M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · Goal · xG 0.05J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.04R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.03M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · Missed · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.01A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Spurgeon · Goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.01G. Pateryn · On goal · xG 0.01L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.00
MIN4 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMIN
2.85 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
1.12 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI35%65%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMIN
26
Shots on goal
39
55%
Faceoffs
45%
2/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
15
20
Blocked shots
4
3
Giveaways
4
4
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9I. ProvorovD101+220.11010—30:19
6T. SanheimD022+300.00140—24:45
14S. CouturierC112+220.890305023:35
28C. GirouxR112030.130006022:35
23O. LindblomL000020.08000—18:04
93J. VoracekR011+220.210005017:53
3R. GudasD000020.03542—17:53
8R. HaggD000000.05234—17:44
17W. SimmondsR011010.01100—16:23
19N. PatrickC000020.182025915:39
21S. LaughtonC000-120.060024414:49
47A. MacDonaldD000-200.00130—14:18
25J. van RiemsdykL202-220.79000—12:45
53S. GostisbehereD022-340.21112—11:24
11T. KonecnyR000-310.01000—10:25
12M. RafflL000000.0000010009:22
44P. VaroneC011+100.000106005:44
27J. BaileyR000+110.01100—04:44
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)39354.8972.91-1.0960:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).