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New Jersey Devils at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New Jersey Devils 8-3. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaden Schwartz's goal at 15:47 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 68% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.1 to 1.5; shots on goal were NJD 23, STL 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 31 of 39 (.795), 4.9 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Pietrangelo (2 G, 1 A), 2. Ivan Barbashev (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jaden Schwartz (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    A. Pietrangelo2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    I. Barbashev2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    J. Schwartz1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD1605212323
STLSTL32031128839

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:08
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:41
  3. NJD
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    10:30
  4. STL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +14 pts
    1-3
    15:47

2nd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +9 pts
    1-4
    0:30
  2. STL
    wristxG 0.13win prob +4 pts
    1-5
    6:11
  3. STL
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    1-6
    15:20

3rd period

  1. STL
    backhandxG 0.18
    1-7
    0:45
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.13
    2-7
    8:01
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.18
    2-8
    9:25
  4. NJD
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01
    3-8
    12:44

Penalties

NJD 16 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:45NJDDamon Severson · Hookingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min

2nd

  • 13:13NJDEric Gryba · Holdingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 19:58STLPatrick Maroon · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Kurtis Gabriel2 min
  • 19:58NJDKurtis Gabriel · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 19:58NJDKurtis Gabriel · Misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 7:23STLVince Dunn · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 7:48STLRobert Bortuzzo · Interferencedrawn by Marcus Johansson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNJD goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jaden Schwartz, 1st 15:47 — STL 68% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.18A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.18T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.17A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.15M. MacEachern · Goal · xG 0.13T. Bozak · Goal · xG 0.12I. Barbashev · Goal · xG 0.12P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.11M. MacEachern · On goal · xG 0.11V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.11J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.11J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.10P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.09I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.08R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.08I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.08A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07P. Maroon · Missed · xG 0.06A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.06P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.05V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04R. Bortuzzo · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Goal · xG 0.03J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.03V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02M. MacEachern · Missed · xG 0.02V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Goal · xG 0.02R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.00C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.00
STL8 G · 3.1 xG · 50 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsSTL
1.53 G
All situations
8 G3.1
1.02 G
Even strength
7 G2.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD22%78%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.46 – 3.03

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsSTL
23
Shots on goal
39
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/2
Power play
0/2
16
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
7
20
Blocked shots
9
4
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. GreeneD000-330.18020—20:58
8W. ButcherD011-310.04100—20:53
28D. SeversonD000-320.07112—20:32
19T. ZajacC000-300.001205320:13
21K. PalmieriC101-320.16110019:55
25M. MuellerD101+110.01210—19:36
12B. LovejoyD000-420.10010—19:19
90M. JohanssonL000-310.270205018:35
2E. GrybaD000020.05332—16:56
13N. HischierC011-120.061105016:55
63J. BrattL000-200.09120—16:30
49J. AndersonR000+120.051005015:55
37P. ZachaC101030.212001415:23
15N. LappinR000000.0022010014:01
17K. AgostinoL011000.0030010013:06
58K. RooneyC000-210.103202510:42
43B. SeneyL000-210.10000—09:14
39K. GabrielR000-200.003012—05:17
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1K. Kinkaid(L)39318.7953.06-4.9460:00

Season series

STL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).