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Anaheim Ducks at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV PRIME, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Anaheim Ducks 6-2. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sean Couturier's goal at 10:24 of the first period, which took the Flyers' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were ANA 32, PHI 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Kevin Boyle stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Carter Hart stopped 30 of 32 (.938), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Sean Couturier (1 G, 2 A), 2. Michael Raffl (1 G, 1 A), 3. Phil Varone (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    S. Couturier1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    M. Raffl1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    P. Varone1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA01219111232
PHIPHI414013213640

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    wristxG 0.17win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    2:44
  2. PHI
    R. Hagg (10), P. Varone (2)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    10:24
  3. PHI
    M. Raffl(4)SHG
    wristxG 0.03win prob +11 pts
    0-3
    11:44
  4. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    17:46

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.16win prob +4 pts
    1-4
    0:51

3rd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    4:57
  2. PHI
    N. Patrick(11)PPG
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +2 pts
    2-5
    12:15
  3. PHI
    wristxG 0.05
    2-6
    18:49

Penalties

ANA 12 PIM·PHI 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:54PHIOskar Lindblom · Trippingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 15:15ANABrandon Montour · Interferencedrawn by Travis Konecny2 min
  • 19:53ANACorey Perry · Roughingdrawn by Radko Gudas2 min
  • 19:53PHIRobert Hagg · Slashingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 19:53PHIRadko Gudas · Roughingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min

2nd

  • 0:51PHIserved by J. Voracek · Delaying game bench2 min
  • 15:23ANARyan Kesler · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

3rd

  • 2:19ANARyan Getzlaf · High stickingdrawn by Nolan Patrick2 min
  • 3:36PHIShayne Gostisbehere · Trippingdrawn by Carter Rowney2 min
  • 5:53ANABrandon Montour · Holdingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
  • 10:28ANAJosh Manson · Trippingdrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalANA goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Sean Couturier, 1st 10:24 — PHI 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Varone · Goal · xG 0.17W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.17J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.15N. Patrick · Goal · xG 0.15O. Lindblom · Goal · xG 0.14O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.13T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.11J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.10R. Hagg · On goal · xG 0.08N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07O. Lindblom · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.05T. Konecny · Goal · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.04N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.04S. Couturier · Goal · xG 0.04S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.04S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03M. Raffl · Goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.02J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI6 G · 2.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsPHI
2.72 G
All situations
6 G2.4
2.20 G
Even strength
4 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA53%47%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 2.40

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
40
44%
Faceoffs
56%
2/4
Power play
1/5
12
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
10
15
Blocked shots
19
7
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4C. FowlerD000-210.09010—23:42
42J. MansonD000-220.02002—22:58
47H. LindholmD000-100.00330—22:41
26B. MontourD000-240.07114—22:29
15R. GetzlafC022-210.152124319:18
44M. Del ZottoD000-120.04120—18:28
29D. ShoreC000010.01000017:47
67R. RakellR011-220.28010—17:39
37N. RitchieL112-230.14110—16:52
33J. SilfverbergR000050.93110—16:31
24C. RowneyC000030.192103116:26
10C. PerryR000-210.28102—15:44
11D. SprongR000-140.20000—14:40
14A. HenriqueC101-110.161204014:29
17R. KeslerC000-200.080026411:20
38D. GrantC000-220.021004308:48
23B. GibbonsC000-200.00010005:34
43J. MegnaD000-100.00000—04:47
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40K. Boyle26242.9231.57-0.4340:00
1C. Johnson(L)14104.7140.83-3.1720:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).