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Penguins at Panthers
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
Final/OTTV ATTSN-PT, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Mike Matheson scoring at 4:14. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. The Panthers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Matheson's goal at 4:14 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 4.0 to 3.3; shots on goal were PIT 31, FLA 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Casey DeSmith stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Matheson (1 G, 1 A), 2. Aleksander Barkov (2 A), 3. Colton Sceviour (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    M. Matheson1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    FLA
    A. Barkov2 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Sceviour1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT0611311101231
FLAFLA11111601114342

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    E. Dadonov(19)PPG
    M. Matheson (14), D. Brassard (8)
    backhandxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    5:22

2nd period

  1. PIT
    J. McCann(9)SHG
    K. Letang (33), B. Dumoulin (17)
    snapxG 0.08win prob +21 pts
    1-1
    13:51
  2. FLA
    C. Sceviour(4)
    A. Barkov (32), R. Sheahan (3)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +21 pts
    1-2
    17:32

3rd period

  1. PIT
    M. Pettersson(1)
    K. Letang (34), J. Guentzel (24)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:17

Overtime

  1. FLA
    M. Matheson(5)
    J. Huberdeau (38), A. Barkov (33)
    tip-inxG 0.17win prob +49 pts
    2-3
    4:14

Penalties

PIT 6 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:27PITMarcus Pettersson · Interferencedrawn by Evgenii Dadonov2 min
  • 7:25FLAVincent Trocheck · High stickingdrawn by Dominik Simon2 min
  • 19:14FLAMike Matheson · Interferencedrawn by Bryan Rust2 min

2nd

  • 0:17FLAAaron Ekblad · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:08PITMatt Cullen · Trippingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 15:23PITBryan Rust · Slashingdrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalPIT goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Mike Matheson, OT 4:14 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.31M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.26M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.22E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.21E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.20F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.19M. Matheson · Goal · xG 0.17C. Sceviour · Goal · xG 0.17T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.15M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.13H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.11A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.10T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.10R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.07T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.06C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.06J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.06C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.04H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.04D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.04H. Borgstrom · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.03V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.03H. Borgstrom · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pysyk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01I. McCoshen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 4.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsFLA
3.32 G
All situations
3 G4.0
2.41 G
Even strength
2 G3.3
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 103 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT39%61%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.23 – 3.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
42
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
31
12
Blocked shots
9
14
Giveaways
21
8
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
58K. LetangD022050.25220—27:07
87S. CrosbyC000020.150004821:57
59J. GuentzelC011+130.52000021:06
8B. DumoulinD011+110.03210—21:01
81P. KesselR000-110.36010—20:52
27N. BjugstadC000-110.350005020:12
73J. JohnsonD000020.02120—20:11
17B. RustR000010.29412—18:57
28M. PetterssonD101010.02332—18:30
7M. CullenC000010.031124717:39
3O. MaattaD000000.00310—17:26
19J. McCannL101+130.110005515:45
50J. RiikolaD000000.03200—15:39
12D. SimonC000010.17400013:20
72P. HornqvistR000050.30000—12:39
14T. PearsonL000000.04200—08:48
53T. BluegerC000010.201006008:05
10G. WilsonL000030.43200—07:33
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1C. DeSmith(O)42393.9293.97+0.9764:14

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).