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Jets at Predators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸5
Nashville Predators
1
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Nashville Predators 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 19:14 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 71% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 34, NSH 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 60% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 29 of 34 (.853), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (37 saves, .974), 2. Brendan Lemieux (2 G), 3. Joe Morrow (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Lemieux2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    J. Morrow2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG11121429534
NSHNSH011113014138

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Lemieux(4)
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.08win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    10:09

2nd period

  1. WPG
    M. Appleton(2)
    J. Morrow (2), S. Niku (1)
    tip-inxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    3:36
  2. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(18)
    R. Ellis (18), F. Forsberg (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    11:57
  3. WPG
    B. Little(11)
    P. Laine (9), J. Roslovic (8)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    19:14

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(11)
    A. Lowry (7), S. Niku (2)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +8 pts
    4-1
    1:54
  2. WPG
    B. Lemieux(5)
    A. Copp (7), J. Morrow (3)
    deflectedxG 0.05
    5-1
    15:38

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·NSH 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:31NSHRyan Johansen · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 17:44WPGJacob Trouba · Hookingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 19:49WPGBlake Wheeler · High stickingdrawn by Ryan Johansen2 min

2nd

  • 6:09NSHDan Hamhuis · Holdingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

3rd

  • 4:18WPGJacob Trouba · Holdingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 10:09WPGBrendan Lemieux · Hookingdrawn by Mattias Ekholm2 min
  • 12:48NSHP.K. Subban · Holdingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWPG goalFinal: NSH 0%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, 2nd 19:14 — WPG 71% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.18R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.18C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.17V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.13A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.12R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.12F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.10R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.10R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.09R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.08V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.07R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.04A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.04M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.04R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.03A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.02R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamhuis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01R. Grimaldi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sissons · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH1 G · 2.8 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsNSH
3.45 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.75 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG60%40%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.36 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsNSH
34
Shots on goal
38
46%
Faceoffs
54%
0/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
13
18
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD000020.03344—23:51
57T. MyersD000010.07130—21:42
44J. MorrisseyD000000.00010—21:27
55M. ScheifeleC000-120.430004820:27
26B. WheelerR000050.4411210019:29
81K. ConnorL000030.42000—19:12
5D. KulikovD000000.00120—18:54
29P. LaineL011+160.68310—16:39
70J. MorrowD022+420.04000—15:49
17A. LowryC011+110.000204315:02
18B. LittleC101+110.291005014:43
28J. RoslovicC011+100.0001010014:38
13B. TanevL101020.07220—14:35
83S. NikuD022+420.25000—14:19
9A. CoppC011+310.010003811:03
85M. PerreaultC000000.11110010:33
48B. LemieuxL202+340.17002—10:10
82M. AppletonC101+320.35300009:27
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)38371.9742.77+1.7760:00

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).