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Ducks at Jets
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Final/OTTV PRIME, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-3 in overtime, Bryan Little scoring at 4:49. The Jets came back from two goals down. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Bryan Little's goal at 4:49 of overtime, which took the Jets' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 1.9; shots on goal were ANA 31, WPG 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. John Gibson stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.0 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 28 of 31 (.903), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Lowry, 2. John Gibson (30 saves, .882), 3. Bryan Little (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    A. Lowry
  2. ★★
    ANA
    J. Gibson30 saves, .882
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    B. Little1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ANAANA271130803331
WPGWPG1111111517434

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    B. Gibbons(1)
    B. Montour (17), C. Rowney (7)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:19
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(6)
    D. Sprong (6), C. Rowney (8)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    16:14
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(9)PPG
    J. Morrissey (21), M. Scheifele (32)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    19:00

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(25)
    B. Little (17)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +16 pts
    2-2
    2:24
  2. ANA
    A. Cogliano(3)
    D. Sprong (7), C. Rowney (9)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.03win prob +22 pts
    3-2
    15:48

3rd period

  1. WPG
    B. Chiarot(4)
    B. Tanev (9), A. Copp (6)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +38 pts
    3-3
    14:05

Overtime

  1. WPG
    B. Little(10)
    J. Trouba (19)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +49 pts
    3-4
    4:49

Penalties

ANA 8 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:08ANAJake Dotchin · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Tanev2 min
  • 10:41WPGAdam Lowry · Hookingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 17:38ANANick Ritchie · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min

2nd

  • 3:45ANAJosh Manson · High stickingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 9:33WPGBrendan Lemieux · Holdingdrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min

3rd

  • 6:17ANARyan Kesler · Roughingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 6:17WPGBrendan Lemieux · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Kesler2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalANA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Bryan Little, OT 4:49 — WPG 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Little · Goal · xG 0.40J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.27M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.16K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.13P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.11P. Laine · Goal · xG 0.11J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.11B. Little · On goal · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.10K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.09K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.08K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.08A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.07B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.06S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.05B. Chiarot · Goal · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.04M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.04B. Little · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04S. Niku · Missed · xG 0.03M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.03P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.03B. Little · Missed · xG 0.03B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.03J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.02S. Niku · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tanev · On goal · xG 0.01M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.00D. Kulikov · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG4 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsWPG
1.93 G
All situations
4 G3.0
1.63 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA33%67%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.83 – 2.77

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsWPG
31
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/3
8
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
12
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47H. LindholmD000030.08020—27:55
26B. MontourD011+140.21130—26:56
4C. FowlerD000-140.28110—25:30
15R. GetzlafC000-240.141205423:56
42J. MansonD000000.02212—23:56
67R. RakellR101-130.14110—21:20
33J. SilfverbergR000020.22200—20:49
14A. HenriqueC000-120.281105017:40
37N. RitchieL000-120.02102—16:03
25O. KaseR000-110.0400010015:27
17R. KeslerC000+100.003027114:48
11D. SprongR022+320.10000—14:16
24C. RowneyC033+210.163002513:45
7A. CoglianoC101+120.04100011:38
21J. DotchinD000+100.00002—08:30
32J. LarssonD000000.00100—08:27
64K. SherwoodL000-100.08100—08:16
23B. GibbonsC101+110.05200007:53
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(O)34304.8822.96-1.0464:49

Season series

WPG leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).