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Avalanche at Canadiens
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Montréal Canadiens

FinalTV ALT, SN·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-0. The Canadiens scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brett Kulak's goal at 8:21 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 49% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.3 to 1.3; shots on goal were COL 28, MTL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Semyon Varlamov stopped 28 of 30 (.933); Carey Price stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Phillip Danault (2 A), 2. Carey Price (28 saves, 1.000), 3. Jonathan Drouin (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    P. Danault2 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    C. Price28 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Drouin1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL0701506028
MTLMTL08010313331

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. MTL
    B. Kulak(2)SHG
    wristxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    0-1
    8:21
  2. MTL
    snapxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    10:39
  3. MTL
    J. Benn(4)EN
    wristxG 0.43
    0-3
    18:44

Penalties

COL 8 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 5:42MTLKenny Agostino · Trippingdrawn by Colin Wilson2 min
  • 7:10COLJ.T. Compher · Interferencedrawn by Michael Chaput2 min
  • 11:22COLMikko Rantanen · Slashingdrawn by Victor Mete2 min

2nd

  • 13:08MTLNicolas Deslauriers · Cross checkingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 13:08MTLMike Reilly · Cross checkingdrawn by Ian Cole2 min
  • 13:08COLIan Cole · Roughingdrawn by Mike Reilly2 min

3rd

  • 3:35COLIan Cole · Trippingdrawn by Michael Chaput2 min
  • 6:48MTLShea Weber · Hookingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 13:34MTLBrett Kulak · Holdingdrawn by J.T. Compher2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalCOL goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Brett Kulak, 3rd 8:21 — MTL 49% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Benn · Goal · xG 0.43M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.12V. Mete · On goal · xG 0.12M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.11M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.11A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.09J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.08S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.07A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.07M. Chaput · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.05S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.04K. Agostino · On goal · xG 0.04M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.04J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.03J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.03P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.02S. Weber · Missed · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Goal · xG 0.02J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.01J. Petry · Missed · xG 0.01J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.01S. Weber · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.01N. Deslauriers · On goal · xG 0.01M. Reilly · Missed · xG 0.00B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL3 G · 2.3 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsMTL
1.30 G
All situations
2 G2.3
1.00 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL39%61%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 1.81

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsMTL
28
Shots on goal
31
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/4
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
27
31
Blocked shots
20
13
Giveaways
15
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
92G. LandeskogL000-230.081103024:23
29N. MacKinnonC000-110.100102224:08
6E. JohnsonD000-140.05310—23:47
96M. RantanenR000-110.01012—22:57
4T. BarrieD000-130.11210—22:44
49S. GirardD000-100.02240—20:32
37J. CompherL000-120.160025019:43
28I. ColeD000010.15544—18:19
34C. SoderbergC000-240.112303617:15
44M. BarberioD000-100.00140—15:40
13A. KerfootC000-240.280204313:36
11M. CalvertL000-100.02330—13:09
83M. NietoL000000.01000—11:37
17T. JostC000-130.1911010011:04
10S. AndrighettoR000-100.01010—09:50
22C. WilsonC000020.02100009:45
27R. GravesD000000.00140—09:32
15S. DriesC000000.002006707:06
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1S. Varlamov(L)30282.9331.82-0.1858:53

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).