Stars at Flyers 1-2 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Dallas Stars

Philadelphia Flyers

▸2

FinalTV FS-SW, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Dallas Stars 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Konecny's goal at 1:23 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 69%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 38, PHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Anton Khudobin stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Carter Hart stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (37 saves, .974), 2. James van Riemsdyk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (1 G).

Three stars

★
C. Hart37 saves, .974
★★
J. van Riemsdyk1 G, 1 A
★★★
T. Konecny1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
DAL	07	013	118	138
PHI	06	26	010	222

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

T. Konecny(11)
J. van Riemsdyk (9), R. Gudas (9)
deflectedxG 0.15win prob +16 pts
0-1
1:23
J. van Riemsdyk(7)
C. Giroux (34), S. Couturier (17)
deflectedxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
0-2
8:51

3rd period

J. Benn(18)
T. Seguin (26), J. Klingberg (15)
wristxG 0.09win prob +7 pts
1-2
17:09

Penalties

6 PIM·

6 PIM

2nd

6:30Mattias Janmark · High stickingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
6:30Sean Couturier · Trippingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
10:27John Klingberg · High stickingdrawn by Oskar Lindblom2 min
16:03James van Riemsdyk · Trippingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min
18:40Taylor Fedun · Holdingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min

3rd

8:08Wayne Simmonds · Trippingdrawn by Devin Shore2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: PHI

100%

Biggest swing: Travis Konecny, 2nd 1:23 — PHI 53% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 2.7 xG · 49 att PHI

2 G · 2.3 xG · 35 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.71 G
All situations: 2 G2.3; 2.41 G
Even strength: 2 G1.1; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.6; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

58%42%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.72 – 2.27

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

38
Shots on goal: 22; 53%
Faceoffs: 47%; 0/2
Power play: 0/2; 6
Penalty minutes: 6; 21
Hits: 18; 16
Blocked shots: 18; 9
Giveaways: 11; 5
Takeaways: 8

Box score

every player line

Dallas Stars skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
3J. KlingbergD	0	1	1	+1	4	0.19	3	2	2	—	27:15
4M. HeiskanenD	0	0	0	0	3	0.10	1	1	0	—	24:08
47A. RadulovR	0	0	0	0	4	0.39	0	0	0	—	22:17
23E. LindellD	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	2	3	0	—	21:51
91T. SeguinC	0	1	1	0	3	0.40	0	0	0	42	21:25
14J. BennL	1	0	1	+1	4	0.37	1	1	0	67	19:25
45R. PolakD	0	0	0	-2	2	0.04	1	1	0	—	19:12
90J. SpezzaC	0	0	0	0	3	0.17	1	1	0	42	15:42
12R. FaksaC	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	0	0	69	14:50
13M. JanmarkC	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	1	0	2	100	14:34
6J. HonkaD	0	0	0	0	3	0.20	1	2	0	—	14:32
18T. PitlickC	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	1	0	0	0	12:53
43V. NichushkinR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	2	0	—	12:52
15B. ComeauL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	12:01
27E. CondraR	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	0	0	0	—	11:04
24R. HintzC	0	0	0	0	2	0.32	3	0	0	50	10:42
17D. ShoreC	0	0	0	0	2	0.07	3	1	0	0	10:39
42T. FedunD	0	0	0	0	1	0.05	0	1	2	—	09:44

Dallas Stars goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35A. Khudobin(L)	22	20	2	.909	2.27	+0.27	58:54

Season series

Tied 1-1

Jan 101@2this game
Apr 22@6Final

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Dallas Stars at Philadelphia Flyers

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score