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Blackhawks at Penguins
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV NBCSN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3. The Blackhawks came back from two goals down. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Strome's goal at 1:48 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 50% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 2.8 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 31, PIT 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Cam Ward stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.5 goals below expected; Casey DeSmith stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrick Kane (3 A), 2. Chris Kunitz (1 G), 3. Patric Hornqvist (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Kane3 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Kunitz1 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Hornqvist1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI17214210531
PITPIT21211606334

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    E. Malkin (31), D. Simon (11)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    2:43
  2. PIT
    K. Letang (27), B. Rust (10)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    4:33
  3. CHI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    16:23

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.17win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    6:46
  2. PIT
    snapxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    9:49
  3. CHI
    B. Seabrook (12), P. Kane (30)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +19 pts
    3-3
    16:59

3rd period

  1. CHI
    P. Kane (31), J. Toews (22)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +23 pts
    4-3
    1:48
  2. CHI
    J. Toews(17)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.49win prob +5 pts
    5-3
    19:33

Penalties

CHI 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 16:02PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 17:03CHIConnor Murphy · Cross checkingdrawn by Bryan Rust2 min
  • 17:52CHIDuncan Keith · Slashingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 14:57PITTanner Pearson · Trippingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 19:41PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by David Kampf2 min

3rd

  • 8:02CHIBrendan Perlini · Hookingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalCHI goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Dylan Strome, 3rd 1:48 — CHI 50% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.17P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.14T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.14P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.13E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.11E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.11P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.10D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.10P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.10S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.08T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.07M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.07K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.07B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.06K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.03B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.01M. Cullen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsPIT
2.84 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G2.1
0.21 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI46%54%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.27 – 2.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsPIT
31
Shots on goal
34
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
28
Hits
24
11
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
56E. GustafssonD011010.09200—22:18
19J. ToewsC112+170.850006121:56
63C. DahlstromD011+130.06000—21:49
2D. KeithD101010.03112—20:56
88P. KaneR033+120.11110—20:43
5C. MurphyD000+100.03612—19:49
17D. StromeC101+120.380104419:05
7B. SeabrookD011000.02020—17:28
20B. SaadL000+120.12100—16:57
15A. AnisimovC000-100.00000016:14
12A. DeBrincatR101020.22100—16:12
24D. KahunC000010.01110014:30
64D. KampfC000-100.040003314:21
22B. DavidsonD000-110.01330—13:59
91D. CaggiulaL000+120.123002511:09
11B. PerliniL000-130.23302—09:15
16M. KrugerC011+130.25110008:59
14C. KunitzL101+110.17500—08:20
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30C. Ward(W)34313.9122.47-0.5360:00

Season series

CHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).