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Islanders at Blues
NHL

New York Islanders at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
New York Islanders
▸4
St. Louis Blues
3
FinalTV FS-MW, MSG+·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the St. Louis Blues 4-3. The Islanders came back from two goals down. The Blues led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Boychuk's goal at 8:38 of the third period, which took the Islanders' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.0 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 14, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Jake Allen stopped 10 of 14 (.714), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anders Lee (1 G, 1 A), 2. Casey Cizikas (2 A), 3. Ryan O'Reilly (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYI
    C. Cizikas2 A
  3. ★★★
    STL
    R. O'Reilly1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI061236414
STLSTL21008114332

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    B. Schenn(8)
    J. Schwartz (13), J. Bouwmeester (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:11
  2. STL
    Z. Sanford(5)
    V. Dunn (14), T. Bozak (12)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:37

2nd period

  1. NYI
    M. Martin(5)
    C. Cizikas (6), C. Clutterbuck (5)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:25

3rd period

  1. NYI
    J. Eberle(8)
    A. Lee (15), A. Pelech (5)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +29 pts
    2-2
    8:27
  2. NYI
    J. Boychuk(3)
    C. Cizikas (7), N. Leddy (13)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +31 pts
    3-2
    8:38
  3. NYI
    A. Lee(15)
    D. Toews (1), S. Mayfield (12)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    15:04
  4. STL
    R. O'Reilly(16)
    D. Perron (15), V. Tarasenko (12)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 pts
    4-3
    18:27

Penalties

NYI 10 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 5:08NYIJoshua Ho-Sang · Hookingdrawn by Vince Dunn2 min
  • 19:16STLRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Michael Dal Colle2 min

2nd

  • 10:01STLRobby Fabbri · Hookingdrawn by Matt Martin2 min
  • 12:12NYIRyan Pulock · Hookingdrawn by Jaden Schwartz2 min

3rd

  • 3:44NYIAnders Lee · High stickingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 11:14NYIScott Mayfield · Trippingdrawn by Robert Thomas2 min
  • 19:40NYIRyan Pulock · Holdingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYI goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Johnny Boychuk, 3rd 8:38 — NYI 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.27R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.20B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.20V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.12R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · Goal · xG 0.10I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.09V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.09O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.08D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.07A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06Z. Sanford · Goal · xG 0.06J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.05R. Fabbri · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05O. Sundqvist · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Goal · xG 0.04Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.04R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.04A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.04O. Sundqvist · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.03A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.03C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.02R. Bortuzzo · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02V. Dunn · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.01
STL3 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsSTL
2.04 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.54 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.10 G
Power play
0 G1.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI25%75%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.57 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsSTL
14
Shots on goal
32
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
12
14
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
2
11
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6R. PulockD000000.10124—20:51
2N. LeddyD011+100.00040—20:38
3A. PelechD011000.01300—20:30
24S. MayfieldD011+100.00022—19:31
55J. BoychukD101030.03300—19:27
13M. BarzalC000010.100005018:31
12J. BaileyR000-210.14110—18:16
29B. NelsonC000-300.080005017:36
53C. CizikasC022+210.001106517:08
25D. ToewsD011020.03010—16:13
18A. BeauvillierR000-100.11310—15:47
27A. LeeL112+120.36122—15:43
47L. KomarovR000+100.451005015:09
15C. ClutterbuckR011+210.18300—13:55
7J. EberleR101+110.22100—13:11
26J. Ho-SangR000010.02002—11:44
28M. Dal ColleL000000.08000—09:13
17M. MartinL101+210.1330010008:49
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)32293.9062.98-0.0259:28

Season series

NYI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).