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Jets at Oilers
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
Edmonton Oilers
3
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Edmonton Oilers 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Jets led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brendan Lemieux's goal at 14:02 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 48% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were WPG 36, EDM 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 21 of 24 (.875); Mikko Koskinen stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Brendan Lemieux (2 G), 2. Leon Draisaitl (2 G), 3. Andrew Copp (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Lemieux2 G
  2. ★★
    EDM
    L. Draisaitl2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    A. Copp2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG09317110436
EDMEDM171918324

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(14)
    C. McDavid (36), A. Petrovic (2)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    14:50

2nd period

  1. WPG
    B. Tanev(8)
    J. Trouba (13), J. Morrissey (18)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:39
  2. WPG
    B. Lemieux(2)
    A. Copp (3), J. Roslovic (6)
    tip-inxG 0.40win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    6:02
  3. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(20)PPG
    D. Nurse (13), R. Nugent-Hopkins (22)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    18:03
  4. WPG
    B. Wheeler(6)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.07win prob +23 pts
    3-2
    18:32

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(21)
    C. McDavid (37)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +29 pts
    3-3
    7:23
  2. WPG
    B. Lemieux(3)
    J. Morrow (1), A. Copp (4)
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +38 pts
    4-3
    14:02

Penalties

WPG 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 9:08EDMTobias Rieder · Hookingdrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min

2nd

  • 17:25WPGBrendan Lemieux · Interferencedrawn by Adam Larsson2 min

3rd

  • 1:52EDMAdam Larsson · Holdingdrawn by Mathieu Perreault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalWPG goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Brendan Lemieux, 3rd 14:02 — WPG 48% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.27K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.17L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.17D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.17T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.14L. Draisaitl · Missed · xG 0.12T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Kassian · On goal · xG 0.10R. Nugent-Hopkins · Goal · xG 0.10T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.09R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Khaira · Missed · xG 0.08A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.07J. Khaira · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · Goal · xG 0.07R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.07R. Spooner · Missed · xG 0.05J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.05T. Rieder · On goal · xG 0.05C. McDavid · On goal · xG 0.04T. Rattie · On goal · xG 0.04C. Jones · Missed · xG 0.03M. Lucic · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Kassian · Missed · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.02M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.02M. Lucic · Missed · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Missed · xG 0.01C. McDavid · Missed · xG 0.01K. Brodziak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.01M. Benning · Missed · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · On goal · xG 0.01J. Puljujarvi · Missed · xG 0.01M. Benning · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM3 G · 2.5 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsEDM
3.04 G
All situations
3 G2.5
2.34 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG59%41%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsEDM
36
Shots on goal
24
52%
Faceoffs
48%
0/2
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
25
Hits
47
19
Blocked shots
18
12
Giveaways
17
15
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD011-110.03140—26:28
57T. MyersD000+220.08240—23:02
8J. TroubaD011-110.01030—22:40
55M. ScheifeleC000010.130004620:05
7B. ChiarotD000+140.09250—19:53
26B. WheelerR101040.26200—19:38
27N. EhlersL000040.46000—18:52
29P. LaineL000010.14110—17:20
17A. LowryC000000.082006116:50
81K. ConnorL000010.36000—16:37
13B. TanevL101030.12200—15:55
85M. PerreaultC000030.26600014:10
18B. LittleC000010.090004414:05
70J. MorrowD011+110.00100—12:39
5D. KulikovD000+210.05210—12:29
9A. CoppC022+250.321007112:12
28J. RoslovicC011+210.02010008:45
48B. LemieuxL202+220.52302—07:49
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)24213.8752.52-0.4859:53

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).