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Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars

FinalTV FS-D, FS-SW·American Airlines Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Dallas Stars beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-1. The Stars scored first and never trailed. The Stars led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Blake Comeau's goal at 5:11 of the second period, which took the Stars' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals favored the Stars, 4.2 to 2.6; shots on goal were DET 34, DAL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Stars win a replay of these chances 73% of the time. Jonathan Bernier stopped 37 of 42 (.881), 0.8 goals below expected; Ben Bishop stopped 33 of 34 (.971), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Radulov (2 G), 2. Blake Comeau (1 G, 1 A), 3. Radek Faksa (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DAL
    A. Radulov2 G
  2. ★★
    DAL
    B. Comeau1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    DAL
    R. Faksa2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET0709118134
DALDAL01731629542

Scoring

6 goals

2nd period

  1. DAL
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:11
  2. DAL
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    11:11
  3. DAL
    A. Radulov(13)PPG
    J. Spezza (15), T. Seguin (22)
    wristxG 0.22win prob +6 pts
    0-3
    14:43

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.02win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    0:31
  2. DAL
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.04
    0-5
    2:20
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(17)PPG
    backhandxG 0.23
    1-5
    3:52

Penalties

DET 4 PIM·DAL 8 PIM

1st

  • 19:23DETJustin Abdelkader · Slashingdrawn by Tyler Pitlick2 min

2nd

  • 13:32DETJonathan Ericsson · Hookingdrawn by Jamie Benn2 min

3rd

  • 3:05DALBrett Ritchie · Elbowingdrawn by Jacob de la Rose2 min
  • 5:47DALBlake Comeau · Interferencedrawn by Gustav Nyquist2 min
  • 8:02DALJulius Honka · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 13:39DALRadek Faksa · Hookingdrawn by Wade Megan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DAL goalDET goalFinal: DAL 100%

Biggest swing: Blake Comeau, 2nd 5:11 — DAL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.25A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.22A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.20B. Comeau · On goal · xG 0.18B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.17M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.16D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.16J. Benn · Missed · xG 0.15J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.14J. Honka · Missed · xG 0.14J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.12A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.12D. Gurianov · Missed · xG 0.11R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.11R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.11R. Faksa · On goal · xG 0.10J. Spezza · Missed · xG 0.10A. Radulov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.09J. Benn · On goal · xG 0.09A. Radulov · Missed · xG 0.09B. Comeau · Goal · xG 0.08R. Hintz · Missed · xG 0.08D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.08M. Janmark · On goal · xG 0.08D. Shore · On goal · xG 0.08J. Klingberg · On goal · xG 0.07E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.06R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.05A. Radulov · Goal · xG 0.04T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.04D. Shore · Missed · xG 0.04J. Spezza · Goal · xG 0.03T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.03D. Gurianov · On goal · xG 0.03T. Seguin · On goal · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · Missed · xG 0.03M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pitlick · Goal · xG 0.02J. Honka · On goal · xG 0.01E. Lindell · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01M. Heiskanen · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hintz · On goal · xG 0.01R. Polak · On goal · xG 0.01T. Fedun · On goal · xG 0.00
DAL5 G · 4.2 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsDAL
2.61 G
All situations
5 G4.2
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G3.0
0.81 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET27%73%DAL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 4.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsDAL
34
Shots on goal
42
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
23
19
Blocked shots
22
10
Giveaways
9
1
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. KronwallD000-400.01110—22:49
3N. JensenD000-100.00100—21:47
51F. NielsenC011-200.031204718:23
52J. EricssonD000020.06042—18:23
17F. HronekD000-310.02100—18:12
21D. CholowskiD000020.15010—17:41
83T. DaleyD000020.02110—17:14
71D. LarkinC101090.520303317:12
26T. VanekL000-210.12100—17:06
72A. AthanasiouC000020.13000016:44
14G. NyquistR011-270.62030—16:29
59T. BertuzziL000020.240005015:08
61J. de la RoseL000-200.001104314:03
41L. GlendeningC000010.081007113:56
8J. AbdelkaderL000030.391125013:44
27M. RasmussenC000000.08310013:21
70C. EhnC000-210.05210013:11
22W. MeganC000-210.10000011:28
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
45J. Bernier(L)42375.8814.15-0.8559:58

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).