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Islanders at Maple Leafs
NHL

New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs

FinalTV ESPN+, MSG+·Scotiabank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 2:49 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.6, TOR 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 28, TOR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Garret Sparks stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (3 G), 2. Robin Lehner (36 saves, 1.000), 3. Ryan Pulock (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    M. Barzal3 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    R. Lehner36 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    R. Pulock2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYINYI11031008428
TORTOR01008018036

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:35

2nd period

  1. NYI
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    2:49
  2. NYI
    M. Barzal(9)PPG
    N. Leddy (10), B. Nelson (12)
    slapxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    3-0
    4:56
  3. NYI
    wristxG 0.08win prob +5 pts
    4-0
    10:33

Penalties

NYI 4 PIM·TOR 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:51TORFrederik Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
  • 19:12NYICasey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min

2nd

  • 4:04TORAndreas Johnsson · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min

3rd

  • 4:50NYILeo Komarov · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 6:02TORPatrick Marleau · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TOR goalNYI goalFinal: TOR 0%

Biggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 2:49 — NYI 63% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.29W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.21J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.18W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.15W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kadri · On goal · xG 0.11J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.10W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.10A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.09A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.09J. Tavares · Missed · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08W. Nylander · On goal · xG 0.07J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.07T. Moore · Missed · xG 0.07M. Marner · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.06P. Marleau · On goal · xG 0.06A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.05J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.05T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.05M. Marner · Missed · xG 0.04N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.03M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.03I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Johnsson · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02I. Ozhiganov · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02J. Gardiner · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kadri · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · Missed · xG 0.02A. Matthews · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rielly · Missed · xG 0.02M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.02T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.02J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01T. Dermott · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · Missed · xG 0.01R. Hainsey · On goal · xG 0.01I. Ozhiganov · Missed · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01P. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Rielly · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00P. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00
TOR0 G · 2.8 xG · 51 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsTOR
2.64 G
All situations
0 G2.8
2.13 G
Even strength
0 G2.0
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI47%53%TOR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.71

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsTOR
28
Shots on goal
36
41%
Faceoffs
59%
1/3
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
6
23
Hits
15
19
Blocked shots
11
12
Giveaways
15
8
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24S. MayfieldD000+130.08220—21:29
2N. LeddyD011+100.04220—20:50
6R. PulockD022+120.04520—20:20
3A. PelechD000+110.02100—19:14
55J. BoychukD011+110.21210—17:54
13M. BarzalC303+250.46110017:32
25D. ToewsD000+100.01000—17:20
29B. NelsonC011030.370104717:16
26J. Ho-SangR000000.00000—16:37
18A. BeauvillierR011+220.18120—16:13
47L. KomarovR000+110.19212—15:27
27A. LeeL000000.08000—15:23
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.05220—14:24
53C. CizikasC000010.102123614:08
12J. BaileyR000+220.230108014:07
51V. FilppulaC101+120.330105013:07
17M. MartinL000030.13220—12:46
28M. Dal ColleL011+110.02100—11:53
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40R. Lehner(W)363601.0002.77+2.7760:00

Season series

NYI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).