New York Islanders at Toronto Maple Leafs
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Islanders beat the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-0. The Islanders scored first and never trailed. The Islanders led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mathew Barzal's goal at 2:49 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 63% to 80%. Expected goals were close — NYI 2.6, TOR 2.8; shots on goal were NYI 28, TOR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Robin Lehner stopped 36 of 36 (1.000), 2.8 goals saved above expected; Garret Sparks stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mathew Barzal (3 G), 2. Robin Lehner (36 saves, 1.000), 3. Ryan Pulock (2 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
4 goals1st period
1-09:35
2nd period
2-02:49
3-04:56
4-010:33
Penalties
1st
- 15:51
Frederik Gauthier · Trippingdrawn by Cal Clutterbuck2 min
- 19:12
Casey Cizikas · High stickingdrawn by Jake Gardiner2 min
2nd
- 4:04
Andreas Johnsson · Holdingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
3rd
- 4:50
Leo Komarov · High stickingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
- 6:02
Patrick Marleau · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Mayfield2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mathew Barzal, 2nd 2:49 — 63% → 80%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.64 G
- All situations
- 0 G2.8
- 2.13 G
- Even strength
- 0 G2.0
- 0.31 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.8
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.71
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 36
- 41%
- Faceoffs
- 59%
- 1/3
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 23
- Hits
- 15
- 19
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 12
- Giveaways
- 15
- 8
- Takeaways
- 9
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
