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Red Wings at Penguins
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
2
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸5
FinalTV ESPN+, ATTSN-PT·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Detroit Red Wings 5-2. The Red Wings scored first; the Penguins answered. The Penguins led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Derick Brassard's goal at 8:26 of the second period, which took the Penguins' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 4.3 to 2.3; shots on goal were DET 29, PIT 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Matt Murray stopped 27 of 29 (.931). Three stars: 1. Phil Kessel (2 G, 1 A), 2. Derick Brassard (2 G), 3. Sidney Crosby (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    P. Kessel2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    D. Brassard2 G
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET1140718229
PITPIT010314216540

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(16)
    G. Nyquist (23), J. Abdelkader (7)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    11:49

2nd period

  1. PIT
    P. Kessel(15)PPG
    S. Crosby (26), K. Letang (21)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    7:12
  2. PIT
    D. Brassard(5)
    P. Kessel (24), T. Pearson (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:26
  3. PIT
    P. Kessel(16)PPG
    E. Malkin (27), S. Crosby (27)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +12 pts
    1-3
    18:58

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(12)
    M. Rasmussen (6), L. Glendening (8)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +14 pts
    2-3
    4:45
  2. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(13)
    J. Johnson (8), M. Pettersson (7)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:55
  3. PIT
    D. Brassard(6)EN
    E. Malkin (28)
    wristxG 0.63
    2-5
    17:35

Penalties

DET 6 PIM·PIT 2 PIM

1st

  • 1:23PITJuuso Riikola · Hookingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min

2nd

  • 6:08DETFilip Hronek · Holding the stickdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 18:15DETTrevor Daley · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min

3rd

  • 9:57DETThomas Vanek · Trippingdrawn by Matt Cullen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalDET goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: Derick Brassard, 2nd 8:26 — PIT 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.63P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.17S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.17S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.14E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.14J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.14P. Kessel · Goal · xG 0.13K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.13E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.13T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Guentzel · On goal · xG 0.12J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.12Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.11D. Brassard · Goal · xG 0.10E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.10Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.10D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.10P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.09P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.09P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.08R. Sheahan · On goal · xG 0.07B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.07T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.07P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.07M. Cullen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.06D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.06S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.06K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.05J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.05D. Simon · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Aston-Reese · On goal · xG 0.02J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Guentzel · Missed · xG 0.02T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Riikola · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pearson · On goal · xG 0.00O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT5 G · 4.3 xG · 52 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsPIT
2.32 G
All situations
4 G4.3
2.02 G
Even strength
2 G3.0
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 89 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET29%71%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 3.58

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsPIT
29
Shots on goal
40
53%
Faceoffs
47%
0/1
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
24
Hits
30
14
Blocked shots
13
14
Giveaways
11
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. KronwallD000+100.00020—24:08
3N. JensenD000+220.06000—23:46
71D. LarkinC101-150.352105221:07
52J. EricssonD000-110.02020—20:53
14G. NyquistR011-110.03100—19:33
83T. DaleyD000-100.00022—18:39
72A. AthanasiouC101030.37010017:46
8J. AbdelkaderL011010.01500—17:22
51F. NielsenC000030.320106416:47
17F. HronekD000-110.27112—16:19
41L. GlendeningC011020.104106015:46
26T. VanekL000030.16102—15:22
59T. BertuzziL000-130.28100—15:15
21D. CholowskiD000-220.09000—15:02
27M. RasmussenC011+100.21210013:32
61J. de la RoseL000-100.002106310:24
70C. EhnC000-100.0050010008:36
22W. MeganC000020.05010007:03
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)39354.8973.61-0.3958:53

Season series

PIT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).