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Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSN, SN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Ilya Kovalchuk scoring at 2:29. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ilya Kovalchuk's goal at 2:29 of overtime, which took the Kings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were LAK 31, SJS 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 29 of 31 (.935), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 28 of 31 (.903). Three stars: 1. Ilya Kovalchuk (2 G), 2. Erik Karlsson (2 A), 3. Alex Iafallo (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    I. Kovalchuk2 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    E. Karlsson2 A
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    A. Iafallo1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
LAKLAK115061713331
SJSSJS0801321000231

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.24win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:28

3rd period

  1. LAK
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:15
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    2-1
    10:18
  3. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +49 pts
    2-2
    19:29

Overtime

  1. LAK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.24win prob +51 pts
    3-2
    2:29

Penalties

LAK 2 PIM·SJS 2 PIM

1st

  • 3:32SJSTimo Meier · Hookingdrawn by Jake Muzzin2 min

2nd

  • 16:59LAKJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalLAK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Ilya Kovalchuk, OT 2:29 — LAK 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.33T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.14E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.13J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.10B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.09B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.08L. Radil · Goal · xG 0.08M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.08K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.07M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07M. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.07J. Thornton · On goal · xG 0.07L. Radil · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.06E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.06L. Radil · Missed · xG 0.06T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.05J. Donskoi · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.03B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.03J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.00R. Simek · On goal · xG 0.00B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS2 G · 2.6 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsSJS
2.93 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.42 G
Even strength
2 G2.5
0.41 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK54%46%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 2.60

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/1
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
2
37
Hits
30
29
Blocked shots
11
11
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
18

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000000.00440—27:10
24D. ForbortD000-110.01200—24:42
11A. KopitarC000010.471105924:03
6J. MuzzinD011010.04330—22:29
23D. BrownR011+150.49110—21:07
19A. IafalloL112050.25220—19:28
61S. WalkerD000010.00020—18:34
9A. KempeR000+140.32410—18:02
73T. ToffoliC000-140.25220017:44
77J. CarterC000010.072124117:12
7O. FantenbergD000000.00200—15:00
44N. ThompsonC011000.005103314:28
17I. KovalchukL202+160.96110—13:42
78D. BrickleyD000000.00110—13:38
14B. LeipsicL000-100.00120—13:18
10M. AmadioR000-120.030406310:57
64M. LuffR000-100.00430—09:48
51A. WagnerL000000.00200—04:05
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)31292.9352.61+0.6162:29

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).