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Predators at Flyers
NHL

Nashville Predators at Philadelphia Flyers

NHL scoreboard
Nashville Predators
1
Philadelphia Flyers
▸2
FinalTV ESPN+, FS-TN·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Nashville Predators 2-1. The Flyers scored first and never trailed. The Flyers led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 8:33 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals were close — NSH 1.9, PHI 1.8; shots on goal were NSH 32, PHI 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Pekka Rinne stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Carter Hart stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Carter Hart (31 saves, .969), 2. Claude Giroux (1 G), 3. Robert Hagg.

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Hart31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    R. Hagg

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NSHNSH08111013132
PHIPHI1911408231

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. PHI
    J. Voracek(9)
    S. Couturier (12), R. Gudas (7)
    wristxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:10

2nd period

  1. NSH
    N. Bonino(6)
    C. Jarnkrok (5), R. Ellis (13)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    4:04
  2. PHI
    C. Giroux(12)
    T. Konecny (12)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    8:33

Penalties

NSH 8 PIM·PHI 22 PIM

1st

  • 19:42NSHRyan Ellis · Holdingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 1:53NSHRyan Hartman · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 13:09PHIIvan Provorov · High stickingdrawn by Craig Smith2 min
  • 13:09PHIIvan Provorov · Misconduct10 min
  • 15:12NSHCraig Smith · Hookingdrawn by Sean Couturier2 min
  • 16:45PHIWayne Simmonds · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 17:47PHIRadko Gudas · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 17:51PHIAndrew MacDonald · High stickingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

3rd

  • 4:38PHIScott Laughton · Elbowingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min
  • 11:07NSHAnthony Bitetto · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 17:15PHIMichael Raffl · Hookingdrawn by Ryan Ellis2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalNSH goalFinal: PHI 100%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 2nd 8:33 — PHI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Voracek · Goal · xG 0.30C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.13S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.10W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.08S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.07W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.06C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.06I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.05S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.04C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.03J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02I. Provorov · Missed · xG 0.02O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02W. Simmonds · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00O. Lindblom · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.00J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.00M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.00
PHI2 G · 1.8 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NSHvsPHI
1.91 G
All situations
2 G1.8
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.0
0.90 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NSH54%46%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NSHvsPHI
32
Shots on goal
31
41%
Faceoffs
59%
0/6
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
22
17
Hits
14
6
Blocked shots
24
9
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Nashville Predators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
59R. JosiD000+130.36010—29:50
4R. EllisD011020.12012—27:02
92R. JohansenC000-110.032005323:21
22K. FialaL000030.29000—22:28
7Y. WeberD000020.04100—20:58
38R. HartmanR000020.13102—19:55
19C. JarnkrokC011+120.061004018:59
8K. TurrisC000-100.040005517:08
5D. HamhuisD000-110.01010—17:02
15C. SmithC000030.15102016:16
51A. WatsonL000-220.12220—15:35
13N. BoninoC101+120.230101515:18
52M. IrwinD000-120.01200—13:08
2A. BitettoD000-100.00302—10:30
20M. SalomakiR000-140.07400—10:02
89F. GaudreauC000000.0500010008:02
23R. GrimaldiR000020.16000—05:59
36Z. RinaldoC000010.06000004:26
Nashville Predators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35P. Rinne(L)31292.9351.76-0.2456:01

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).