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Winnipeg Jets at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Kings scored first and never trailed. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 9:08 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 28, LAK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 27 of 30 (.900); Jonathan Quick stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Quick (27 saves, .964), 2. Austin Wagner (2 G), 3. Drew Doughty (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Quick27 saves, .964
  2. ★★
    LAK
    A. Wagner2 G
  3. ★★★
    LAK
    D. Doughty1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0111908128
LAKLAK11021219431

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.04win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    13:00

2nd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    1:52
  2. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +18 pts
    1-2
    9:08
  3. LAK
    wristxG 0.15win prob +15 pts
    1-3
    18:08

3rd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.62
    1-4
    19:55

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 15:02LAKJake Muzzin · Chargingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 17:20WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min

2nd

  • 4:59WPGConnor Hellebuyck · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min
  • 18:42LAKAdrian Kempe · Interferencedrawn by Brendan Lemieux2 min
  • 18:58WPGBlake Wheeler · Hookingdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

3rd

  • 13:26LAKserved by A. Kempe · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalWPG goalFinal: LAK 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 9:08 — LAK 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Thompson · Goal · xG 0.62A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.26A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.16M. Luff · Missed · xG 0.16A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.15A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.15D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.15B. Leipsic · Missed · xG 0.13D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.12J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.11B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.10B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.10T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.09A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.08A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.08M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.06N. Scherbak · Missed · xG 0.06M. Luff · On goal · xG 0.06M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.04A. Wagner · Goal · xG 0.04D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.03D. Brown · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brown · Missed · xG 0.03T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02D. Doughty · Missed · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.02J. Muzzin · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01D. Brickley · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.01B. Leipsic · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK4 G · 3.5 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsLAK
2.61 G
All situations
3 G3.5
2.21 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG44%56%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 2.87

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
31
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
21
Hits
10
8
Blocked shots
18
8
Giveaways
17
4
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
33D. ByfuglienD000-210.02000—25:44
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.190102525:19
26B. WheelerR000-130.12102—23:21
8J. TroubaD000040.36230—22:49
27N. EhlersL000-120.27000—21:13
44J. MorrisseyD011010.07102—20:35
81K. ConnorL000-230.42000—19:17
57T. MyersD000-110.02100—18:18
29P. LaineL000-150.56000—17:49
7B. ChiarotD000-110.02110—15:12
18B. LittleC011000.001007814:04
17A. LowryC000-220.245007013:14
85M. PerreaultC101-110.06200012:51
13B. TanevL000-210.08300—12:22
5D. KulikovD000-110.00120—11:47
28J. RoslovicC000000.010005708:48
48B. LemieuxL000000.01310—07:18
82M. AppletonC000010.11000006:33
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)30273.9002.91-0.0957:26

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).