Kings at Red Wings 1-3 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Los Angeles Kings

Detroit Red Wings

▸3

FinalTV NHLN-US, FS-D+·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frans Nielsen's goal at 6:06 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 70% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Kings, 3.2 to 1.7; shots on goal were LAK 43, DET 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 18 of 21 (.857), 1.3 goals below expected; Jimmy Howard stopped 42 of 43 (.977), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (42 saves, .977), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Dennis Cholowski (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Howard42 saves, .977
★★
D. Larkin1 G
★★★
D. Cholowski1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
LAK	010	014	119	143
DET	18	29	04	321

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

D. Cholowski(5)
C. Ehn (2), J. de la Rose (4)
wristxG 0.07win prob +12 pts
0-1
6:32

2nd period

F. Nielsen(5)
T. Vanek (8), A. Athanasiou (8)
wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
0-2
6:06
D. Larkin(12)
Unassisted
wristxG 0.31win prob +7 pts
0-3
18:08

3rd period

A. Kopitar(8)
A. Iafallo (7), D. Brown (8)
wristxG 0.17win prob +2 pts
1-3
13:22

Penalties

2 PIM·

2 PIM

1st

6:56Jonathan Ericsson · Holdingdrawn by Matt Luff2 min

2nd

13:05Adrian Kempe · Holdingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: DET

100%

Biggest swing: Frans Nielsen, 2nd 6:06 — DET 70% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

3 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att

←

attacks

attacks →

1 G · 3.2 xG · 63 att DET

3 G · 1.7 xG · 35 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

3.21 G
All situations: 3 G1.7; 2.81 G
Even strength: 3 G1.5; 0.40 G
Power play: 0 G0.2; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

76%24%

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.19 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

43
Shots on goal: 21; 44%
Faceoffs: 56%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 2
Penalty minutes: 2; 23
Hits: 12; 8
Blocked shots: 18; 12
Giveaways: 17; 2
Takeaways: 9

Box score

every player line

Los Angeles Kings skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8D. DoughtyD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.15	2	0	0	—	25:47
6J. MuzzinD	0	0	0	0	1	0.03	1	3	0	—	24:58
11A. KopitarC	1	0	1	-1	5	0.41	2	1	0	39	20:46
7O. FantenbergD	0	0	0	-1	2	0.18	3	1	0	—	20:14
23D. BrownR	0	1	1	-1	3	0.13	1	0	0	—	19:14
14B. LeipsicL	0	0	0	0	1	0.23	2	1	0	100	19:07
24D. ForbortD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	4	1	0	—	19:06
77J. CarterC	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	0	50	18:55
73T. ToffoliC	0	0	0	0	8	0.40	1	0	0	100	17:54
19A. IafalloL	0	1	1	-1	1	0.16	3	0	0	—	15:43
21N. ScherbakR	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	2	0	0	—	15:23
3D. PhaneufD	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	0	0	—	14:51
64M. LuffR	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	0	0	0	—	14:28
9A. KempeR	0	0	0	0	3	0.27	0	0	2	33	14:02
2P. LaDueD	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	1	0	—	12:41
44N. ThompsonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.24	0	0	0	80	10:37
10M. AmadioR	0	0	0	-1	1	0.20	1	0	0	—	08:51
51A. WagnerL	0	0	0	-1	2	0.17	0	0	0	—	07:59

Los Angeles Kings goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
32J. Quick(L)	21	18	3	.857	1.70	-1.30	57:24

Season series

Tied 1-1

Oct 72@4Final
Dec 101@3this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score