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Flyers at Sabres
NHL

Philadelphia Flyers at Buffalo Sabres

NHL scoreboard
Philadelphia Flyers
▸6
Buffalo Sabres
2
FinalTV NBCSP, MSG-B·KeyBank Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Buffalo Sabres 6-2. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Claude Giroux's goal at 2:49 of the third period, which took the Flyers' chances from 42% to 69%. Expected goals were close — PHI 2.7, BUF 2.5; shots on goal were PHI 41, BUF 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 35 of 41 (.854), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Claude Giroux (1 G, 3 A), 2. James van Riemsdyk (1 G, 1 A), 3. Wayne Simmonds (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    C. Giroux1 G, 3 A
  2. ★★
    PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    W. Simmonds1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PHIPHI115114412641
BUFBUF2170904230

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    J. Eichel(8)
    S. Reinhart (17), J. Skinner (10)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:04
  2. BUF
    J. Eichel(9)
    L. Pilut (1), R. Ristolainen (15)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    12:02
  3. PHI
    J. van Riemsdyk(2)
    C. Giroux (23)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    12:52

2nd period

  1. PHI
    I. Provorov(3)
    S. Laughton (5), M. Raffl (3)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 pts
    2-2
    10:10

3rd period

  1. PHI
    C. Giroux(11)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +27 pts
    3-2
    2:49
  2. PHI
    W. Simmonds(10)
    S. Gostisbehere (10), J. Voracek (15)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    8:10
  3. PHI
    D. Weise(3)
    M. Raffl (4), C. Giroux (24)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +4 pts
    5-2
    9:25
  4. PHI
    T. Konecny(9)
    C. Giroux (25), J. van Riemsdyk (4)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +1 pts
    6-2
    11:00

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·BUF 11 PIM

1st

  • 9:02BUFConor Sheary · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Voracek2 min

2nd

  • 7:49BUFRasmus Dahlin · Interferencedrawn by Wayne Simmonds2 min

3rd

  • 2:15PHITravis Sanheim · Holding the stickdrawn by Vladimir Sobotka2 min
  • 19:21BUFNathan Beaulieu · Fightingdrawn by Radko Gudas5 min
  • 19:21PHIRadko Gudas · Fightingdrawn by Nathan Beaulieu5 min
  • 19:21BUFNathan Beaulieu · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 20:00PHINolan Patrick · Slashingdrawn by Rasmus Ristolainen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BUF goalPHI goalFinal: BUF 0%

Biggest swing: Claude Giroux, 3rd 2:49 — PHI 42% → 69%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.23J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.19J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.19C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.18S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.16K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.15C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.14J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.12C. Mittelstadt · On goal · xG 0.12R. Ristolainen · On goal · xG 0.10S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eichel · Missed · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.06J. Eichel · Goal · xG 0.05J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.05P. Berglund · Missed · xG 0.05R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.05T. Thompson · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.04N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.04J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.04V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.04J. Pominville · Missed · xG 0.03N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eichel · On goal · xG 0.02R. Dahlin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.01N. Beaulieu · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01V. Sobotka · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pominville · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.01V. Sobotka · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.01E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tennyson · On goal · xG 0.01K. Okposo · On goal · xG 0.00N. Beaulieu · On goal · xG 0.00
BUF2 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsBUF
2.76 G
All situations
2 G2.5
2.05 G
Even strength
2 G2.3
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI54%46%BUF

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.66 – 2.42

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsBUF
41
Shots on goal
30
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/3
Power play
0/1
9
Penalty minutes
11
17
Hits
11
10
Blocked shots
11
8
Giveaways
4
7
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53S. GostisbehereD011+200.04010—24:23
9I. ProvorovD101+540.14000—23:37
93J. VoracekR011+140.24000—20:49
17W. SimmondsR101+120.20000—19:48
47A. MacDonaldD000+210.02020—19:39
28C. GirouxR134+340.210006018:20
19N. PatrickC000+130.060124317:58
25J. van RiemsdykL112+250.46100—17:58
8R. HaggD000-140.11130—17:38
6T. SanheimD000010.07012—17:12
11T. KonecnyR101+240.3520010015:48
21S. LaughtonC011+210.221006415:21
22D. WeiseR101+210.21100—14:24
12M. RafflL022+310.0650010013:58
3R. GudasD000000.00425—13:00
40J. WealC000-200.000005010:33
23O. LindblomL000-250.16200—09:59
15J. LehteraC000-210.160005007:35
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(W)30282.9332.50+0.5060:00

Season series

PHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).