New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers
Recap
written from the game dataThe Florida Panthers beat the New Jersey Devils 4-3 in overtime, Mike Hoffman scoring at 1:28. The Panthers came back from two goals down. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mike Hoffman's goal at 1:28 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were NJD 32, FLA 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Keith Kinkaid stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 0.7 goals below expected; James Reimer stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Hoffman (1 G), 2. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 2 A), 3. Sami Vatanen (2 A).
Three stars
- ★M. Hoffman1 G

- ★★J. Huberdeau1 G, 2 A

- ★★★S. Vatanen2 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals2nd period
1-01:23
2-06:01
2-17:31
2-211:43
3rd period
3-211:27
3-318:31
Overtime
3-41:28
Penalties
1st
- 12:31
Jonathan Huberdeau · Hookingdrawn by Jesper Bratt2 min
- 16:00
Stefan Noesen · Trippingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
2nd
- 5:35
Miles Wood · Too many men on the ice2 min
- 6:49
Travis Zajac · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
- 12:37
Egor Yakovlev · Holdingdrawn by Dryden Hunt2 min
3rd
- 3:34
Mike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Mike Hoffman, OT 1:28 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.73 G
- All situations
- 4 G3.4
- 1.12 G
- Even strength
- 3 G1.9
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 1 G1.0
- 0.21 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.5
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.62 – 3.32
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 32
- Shots on goal
- 34
- 48%
- Faceoffs
- 52%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 1/4
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 17
- Hits
- 24
- 12
- Blocked shots
- 14
- 13
- Giveaways
- 19
- 10
- Takeaways
- 8
Box score
every player line
Season series
NJD leads 2-1
2@
3Final
3@
4OTthis game
4@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
