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Senators at Wild
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
4
Minnesota Wild
▸6
FinalTV FS-N, SN360·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Ottawa Senators 6-4. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eric Staal's goal at 14:02 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.4 to 1.6; shots on goal were OTT 27, MIN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Craig Anderson stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 2.5 goals below expected; Devan Dubnyk stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 2.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Eric Staal (2 G), 2. Mathew Dumba (2 G), 3. Jordan Greenway (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    E. Staal2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Dumba2 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    J. Greenway1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT04110313427
MINMIN21521128634

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    J. Greenway(3)
    J. Eriksson Ek (2), J. Brodin (4)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:10
  2. MIN
    M. Dumba(9)PPG
    M. Granlund (10), R. Suter (13)
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    19:49

2nd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(7)PPG
    M. Granlund (11), R. Suter (14)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +7 pts
    0-3
    6:00
  2. OTT
    C. Tierney(3)
    M. Boedker (10), C. Jaros (3)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    12:48
  3. MIN
    M. Dumba(10)
    J. Greenway (5), C. Coyle (8)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    16:03

3rd period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(6)SHG
    Z. Smith (4)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    0:52
  2. OTT
    C. Jaros(1)
    Z. Smith (5)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +12 pts
    3-4
    11:32
  3. OTT
    C. White(7)
    T. Pyatt (1)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +34 pts
    4-4
    12:55
  4. MIN
    E. Staal(8)
    J. Zucker (9), M. Granlund (12)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +36 pts
    4-5
    14:02
  5. MIN
    E. Fehr(3)EN
    Z. Parise (10), M. Koivu (15)
    wristxG 0.92win prob +5 pts
    4-6
    19:22

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·MIN 10 PIM

1st

  • 10:39MINJordan Greenway · Slashingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 17:57OTTBrady Tkachuk · Slashingdrawn by Nick Seeler2 min
  • 18:54MINZach Parise · Slashingdrawn by Chris Tierney2 min
  • 19:29OTTThomas Chabot · Trippingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 4:35OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
  • 7:23MINEric Fehr · Hookingdrawn by Matt Duchene2 min

3rd

  • 0:25OTTMark Borowiecki · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 5:51MINMathew Dumba · Hookingdrawn by Mark Stone2 min
  • 8:24MINJared Spurgeon · High stickingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalOTT goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Eric Staal, 3rd 14:02 — MIN 52% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Fehr · Goal · xG 0.92M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.17M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.14E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.13J. Greenway · Goal · xG 0.12J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.12E. Staal · Goal · xG 0.12J. Spurgeon · Missed · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.11E. Staal · Missed · xG 0.11C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.09M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.09N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.08M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.08J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.07N. Seeler · Missed · xG 0.07M. Koivu · Missed · xG 0.07E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.06J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.05C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.05E. Fehr · Missed · xG 0.05J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.04M. Dumba · Goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.03J. Greenway · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.03R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03J. Spurgeon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03E. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.02N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.02R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.02M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.02M. Dumba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01N. Seeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.01R. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01J. Greenway · Missed · xG 0.01M. Koivu · On goal · xG 0.01M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN6 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMIN
1.64 G
All situations
5 G3.4
1.23 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.40 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.01 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT33%67%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.64 – 2.50

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMIN
27
Shots on goal
34
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/4
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
9
Hits
14
14
Blocked shots
25
4
Giveaways
3
5
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
72T. ChabotD101030.26012—27:01
2D. DeMeloD000+120.10020—21:52
95M. DucheneC000-310.050007621:12
61M. StoneR000020.23000—20:39
58M. LajoieD000-220.09010—19:59
18R. DzingelC000-120.14000019:47
79D. BathersonR000-210.03100—18:50
5C. CeciD000-120.05230—18:17
89M. BoedkerL011030.18100—15:54
71C. TierneyC101030.190008215:33
74M. BorowieckiD000+210.02102—13:43
9B. RyanR000010.10200—13:39
15Z. SmithC022+100.000103313:19
36C. WhiteC101010.100304513:19
7B. TkachukL000+100.00104—12:33
83C. JarosD112+110.02130—11:45
10T. PyattL011+120.08000—08:20
56M. PaajarviL000000.00000—08:07
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41C. Anderson(L)33285.8482.50-2.5058:54

Season series

MIN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).