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Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings

FinalTV FS-W, SNO·STAPLES Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Los Angeles Kings 5-1. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 5-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Morgan Rielly's goal at 1:15 of the second period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 63% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.3 to 1.8; shots on goal were TOR 35, LAK 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Cal Petersen stopped 15 of 16 (.938). Three stars: 1. John Tavares (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (2 G), 3. Morgan Rielly (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    J. Tavares1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    N. Kadri2 G
  3. ★★★
    TOR
    M. Rielly1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR21631306535
LAKLAK180807123

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    N. Kadri(6)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:42
  2. TOR
    J. Tavares(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    6:12
  3. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    14:28

2nd period

  1. TOR
    wristxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    1:15
  2. TOR
    snapxG 0.15win prob +11 pts
    4-1
    4:33
  3. TOR
    N. Kadri(7)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    5-1
    7:19

Penalties

TOR 4 PIM·LAK 12 PIM

1st

  • 1:15LAKDustin Brown · Slashingdrawn by Mitch Marner2 min
  • 4:17LAKTanner Pearson · Slashingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 9:26TORMorgan Rielly · Trippingdrawn by Dustin Brown2 min
  • 16:08LAKJeff Carter · Trippingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min

2nd

  • 5:38LAKAlex Iafallo · High sticking double minordrawn by Mitch Marner4 min
  • 12:51TORMitch Marner · Trippingdrawn by Anze Kopitar2 min

3rd

  • 2:28LAKNate Thompson · Slashingdrawn by Josh Leivo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalTOR goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Morgan Rielly, 2nd 1:15 — TOR 63% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.17A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.16D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.14K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.13N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.11A. Kempe · Goal · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.10K. Clifford · On goal · xG 0.10J. Muzzin · On goal · xG 0.10T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.09J. Carter · On goal · xG 0.08I. Kovalchuk · On goal · xG 0.08J. Carter · Missed · xG 0.06K. Clifford · Missed · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.05D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.04N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.04A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · Missed · xG 0.02D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · Missed · xG 0.01A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.01O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.00A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.00D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.00O. Fantenberg · On goal · xG 0.00A. Kopitar · Missed · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 1.8 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsLAK
3.35 G
All situations
1 G1.8
1.32 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
2.03 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR75%25%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.22 – 1.78

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsLAK
35
Shots on goal
23
48%
Faceoffs
52%
3/6
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
12
8
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
15
8
Giveaways
12
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23T. DermottD011000.01110—20:36
91J. TavaresC123+140.511106819:50
44M. RiellyD112+130.05112—19:09
22N. ZaitsevD000030.05020—19:02
51J. GardinerD000010.04010—19:00
16M. MarnerR022+130.29002—18:43
24K. KapanenR000-130.30000—17:38
43N. KadriC202-140.380006017:17
2R. HainseyD000+110.02010—17:17
12P. MarleauC011-120.19000016:23
92I. OzhiganovD000010.06130—15:55
11Z. HymanL000+120.2011010015:34
18A. JohnssonL101+140.52110—14:20
26P. LindholmC011+100.051204414:20
63T. EnnisR000030.51000—14:05
28C. BrownR000+100.04000—13:51
32J. LeivoL000010.05000—13:15
33F. GauthierC000000.00110009:45
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)23221.9571.80+0.8060:00

Season series

TOR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).