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New Jersey Devils at Winnipeg Jets

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New Jersey Devils 5-2. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Mark Scheifele's goal at 2:58 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 68% to 84%. Expected goals were close — NJD 2.7, WPG 2.5; shots on goal were NJD 36, WPG 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Cory Schneider stopped 23 of 28 (.821), 2.5 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 34 of 36 (.944), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Scheifele (2 G, 1 A), 2. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A), 3. Kyle Connor (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD113112011236
WPGWPG21131007528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    3:02
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.16win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    3:31
  3. NJD
    snapxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    7:15

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.20win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    2:58
  2. NJD
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 pts
    2-3
    3:45
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.21win prob +16 pts
    2-4
    7:54
  4. WPG
    wristxG 0.02win prob +8 pts
    2-5
    12:47

Penalties

NJD 6 PIM·WPG 10 PIM

1st

  • 7:44WPGJosh Morrissey · Trippingdrawn by Brett Seney2 min

2nd

  • 0:31WPGBlake Wheeler · Trippingdrawn by Taylor Hall2 min
  • 4:21NJDStefan Noesen · Cross checkingdrawn by Nic Petan2 min
  • 5:00NJDBrian Boyle · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Dustin Byfuglien2 min
  • 5:00WPGDustin Byfuglien · Chargingdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min
  • 5:00WPGDustin Byfuglien · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brian Boyle2 min

3rd

  • 15:39NJDBen Lovejoy · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
  • 15:39WPGBryan Little · Slashingdrawn by Ben Lovejoy2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalNJD goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Mark Scheifele, 2nd 2:58 — WPG 68% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.21M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.20D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · Goal · xG 0.16M. Scheifele · Goal · xG 0.16J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.14M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.13M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.12K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.11M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.09J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.08P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.06M. Perreault · Missed · xG 0.06J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.06B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.06N. Petan · Missed · xG 0.06J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.05P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.05K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.04J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.03B. Chiarot · Missed · xG 0.03K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03M. Perreault · Goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.02N. Petan · On goal · xG 0.02B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01B. Chiarot · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.00D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 2.5 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsWPG
2.72 G
All situations
5 G2.5
2.52 G
Even strength
5 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD52%48%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 2.45

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsWPG
36
Shots on goal
28
39%
Faceoffs
61%
0/3
Power play
0/1
6
Penalty minutes
10
23
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
25
9
Giveaways
17
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
45S. VatanenD000-250.28510—26:43
6A. GreeneD000-120.02020—22:17
9T. HallL000-240.371006720:34
28D. SeversonD022010.08110—20:23
21K. PalmieriC000-210.17310018:39
19T. ZajacC000-110.302004718:05
90M. JohanssonL000-110.09010—17:47
74E. YakovlevD000-120.03100—16:41
8W. ButcherD000-130.15000—16:39
63J. BrattL011030.20000—16:37
20B. ColemanL101+140.573103615:53
12B. LovejoyD000-110.04212—15:38
11B. BoyleC000010.013021814:44
44M. WoodL000-220.04030—12:48
49J. AndersonR000-120.02100—12:28
23S. NoesenR000010.011024012:12
43B. SeneyL101-110.280004011:47
13N. HischierC000010.050006006:05
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35C. Schneider(L)28235.8212.53-2.4760:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).