Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks
Recap
written from the game dataThe Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 3:33 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 9% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 34, CHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Calvin de Haan (1 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G).
Three stars
- ★C. de Haan1 G

- ★★P. Kane1 G, 1 A

- ★★★A. Svechnikov1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
7 goals1st period
1-04:46
2-09:09
3-015:53
2nd period
4-01:20
4-14:34
4-210:53
3rd period
4-33:33
Penalties
1st
- 8:46
Henri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
- 10:10
Calvin de Haan · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
- 18:49
Alexandre Fortin · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min
2nd
- 13:08
Clark Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Kruger2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 3rd 3:33 — 9% → 26%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.74 G
- All situations
- 3 G4.4
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 3 G3.7
- 0.61 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.20 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.2
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 4.33
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 34
- Shots on goal
- 38
- 49%
- Faceoffs
- 51%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 24
- Hits
- 18
- 16
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 5
- Giveaways
- 11
- 3
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
CAR leads 2-0
4@
3this game
2@
3OTFinal
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
