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Hurricanes at Blackhawks
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV FS-CR, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-3. The Hurricanes scored first and never trailed. The Hurricanes led 4-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Schmaltz's goal at 3:33 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 9% to 26%. Expected goals favored the Blackhawks, 4.4 to 2.7; shots on goal were CAR 34, CHI 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blackhawks win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 35 of 38 (.921), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Corey Crawford stopped 30 of 34 (.882), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Calvin de Haan (1 G), 2. Patrick Kane (1 G, 1 A), 3. Andrei Svechnikov (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    C. de Haan1 G
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Kane1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    A. Svechnikov1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR31611008434
CHICHI013214111338

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    backhandxG 0.30win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    4:46
  2. CAR
    J. Slavin(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +12 pts
    2-0
    9:09
  3. CAR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    15:53

2nd period

  1. CAR
    wristxG 0.18win prob +6 pts
    4-0
    1:20
  2. CHI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +5 pts
    4-1
    4:34
  3. CHI
    B. Saad (4), J. Rutta (4)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +10 pts
    4-2
    10:53

3rd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.11win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    3:33

Penalties

CAR 4 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:46CHIHenri Jokiharju · Trippingdrawn by Warren Foegele2 min
  • 10:10CARCalvin de Haan · Hookingdrawn by Nick Schmaltz2 min
  • 18:49CHIAlexandre Fortin · Trippingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

2nd

  • 13:08CARClark Bishop · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Kruger2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCAR goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Nick Schmaltz, 3rd 3:33 — CHI 9% → 26%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.39A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.26D. Kahun · On goal · xG 0.19C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.17B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.16P. Kane · Goal · xG 0.15D. Kampf · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.15P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.14A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.14D. Kampf · Goal · xG 0.13A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Fortin · On goal · xG 0.12P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.12J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.11N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.11C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.11J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.10J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.10A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Toews · Missed · xG 0.08P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.07A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.07J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.06A. DeBrincat · On goal · xG 0.05P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.05M. Kruger · On goal · xG 0.05B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.04P. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04A. DeBrincat · Missed · xG 0.04D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03D. Keith · Missed · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.03H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02H. Jokiharju · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinsen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kane · Missed · xG 0.02J. Toews · On goal · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.02A. Anisimov · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kunitz · Missed · xG 0.02B. Seabrook · On goal · xG 0.02B. Davidson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI3 G · 4.4 xG · 55 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsCHI
2.74 G
All situations
3 G4.4
2.03 G
Even strength
3 G3.7
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR24%76%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 4.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsCHI
34
Shots on goal
38
49%
Faceoffs
51%
1/2
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
4
24
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
13
5
Giveaways
11
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD101-130.22020—24:24
22B. PesceD000030.06030—21:39
11J. StaalC000-150.320104120:23
27J. FaulkD011+210.03230—20:15
44C. de HaanD101+310.18122—20:01
19D. HamiltonD000-120.12220—19:07
14J. WilliamsR011-140.44000—18:28
23B. McGinnL011+110.06100—17:42
13W. FoegeleL000-120.35210—16:22
20S. AhoC011010.150106715:53
48J. MartinookL011030.24500—15:38
71L. WallmarkC022000.002006415:14
57T. van RiemsdykD000-310.02010—14:42
86T. TeravainenC011000.00000013:37
37A. SvechnikovR101010.30300—11:56
64C. BishopC000+110.083025011:50
7P. Di GiuseppeL101+140.13200—10:06
79M. FerlandL000010.02100—08:43
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(W)38353.9214.41+1.4160:00

Season series

CAR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).