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Oilers at Lightning
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Tampa Bay Lightning

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
2
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸5
FinalTV NBCSN, SNW·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Edmonton Oilers 5-2. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Yanni Gourde's goal at 13:19 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 73% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were EDM 35, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Mikko Koskinen stopped 30 of 35 (.857), 1.9 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 35 (.943), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (2 G, 1 A), 2. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, .943), 3. Steven Stamkos (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, .943
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    S. Stamkos1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM01111519235
TBLTBL21529111535

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    S. Stamkos(5)
    N. Kucherov (10)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    4:40
  2. TBL
    B. Point(9)
    Y. Gourde (9), T. Johnson (6)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    19:34

2nd period

  1. EDM
    R. Strome(1)
    O. Klefbom (8)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    12:32
  2. TBL
    Y. Gourde(7)
    R. McDonagh (10), B. Point (10)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    1-3
    13:19
  3. TBL
    N. Kucherov(6)
    S. Stamkos (7), B. Coburn (3)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +7 pts
    1-4
    18:59

3rd period

  1. EDM
    L. Draisaitl(9)PPG
    T. Rattie (2), R. Nugent-Hopkins (14)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    0:40
  2. TBL
    N. Kucherov(7)PPG
    J. Miller (8), S. Stamkos (8)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    2-5
    8:23

Penalties

EDM 24 PIM·TBL 10 PIM

1st

  • 6:37EDMTy Rattie · Slashingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min

2nd

  • 4:48TBLJ.T. Miller · Interferencedrawn by Drake Caggiula2 min
  • 10:37TBLBrayden Point · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Nugent-Hopkins2 min
  • 11:04EDMConnor McDavid · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 17:43EDMRyan Strome · Slashingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 17:43TBLCedric Paquette · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Strome2 min
  • 19:41TBLAnton Stralman · Slashingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 5:49EDMAdam Larsson · Hookingdrawn by Tyler Johnson2 min
  • 7:26EDMMatt Benning · Slashingdrawn by Mikhail Sergachev2 min
  • 9:31EDMMilan Lucic · Interferencedrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 9:31EDMMilan Lucic · Roughingdrawn by Mathieu Joseph2 min
  • 9:31EDMMilan Lucic · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:39TBLNikita Kucherov · Hookingdrawn by Tobias Rieder2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalEDM goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Yanni Gourde, 2nd 13:19 — TBL 73% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.28B. Point · Goal · xG 0.24S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.16S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.16A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.12S. Stamkos · Goal · xG 0.11A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.11Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.11C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.10N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.08N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.07Y. Gourde · Goal · xG 0.06A. Erne · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · Missed · xG 0.06A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.04R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.04S. Koekkoek · Missed · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03S. Koekkoek · On goal · xG 0.03S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.03A. Erne · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.02A. Stralman · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.01
TBL5 G · 3.1 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsTBL
2.62 G
All situations
5 G3.1
1.61 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
0.91 G
Power play
1 G0.9
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM41%59%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.55 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsTBL
35
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
1/6
24
Penalty minutes
10
27
Hits
20
10
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77O. KlefbomD011+120.06000—25:58
25D. NurseD000-330.07420—22:48
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC011-230.450003321:18
4K. RussellD000-400.00230—19:47
6A. LarssonD000020.06112—19:39
29L. DraisaitlC101-150.732006319:21
97C. McDavidC000-250.461021718:22
18R. StromeC101+130.192024716:52
8T. RattieR011-220.20002—15:19
22T. RiederL000-130.09110—15:00
83M. BenningD000030.06322—14:44
91D. CaggiulaL000-210.04200—14:25
56K. YamamotoR000000.00000—12:34
16J. KhairaL000010.06210—11:01
28K. BrodziakC000000.000008010:57
5K. GravelD000000.00000—10:39
44Z. KassianR000010.05500—10:10
27M. LucicL000010.042014—08:09
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
19M. Koskinen(L)35305.8573.12-1.8860:00

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).