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Red Wings at Panthers
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
Florida Panthers
3
Final/OTTV FS-D, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Florida Panthers 4-3 in overtime, Gustav Nyquist scoring at 3:44. The Red Wings came back from two goals down. The Red Wings led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Nyquist's goal at 3:44 of overtime, which took the Red Wings' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 3.1 to 2.5; shots on goal were DET 31, FLA 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 34 of 37 (.919); Michael Hutchinson stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Gustav Nyquist (1 G, 1 A), 2. Dennis Cholowski (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nick Bjugstad (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    G. Nyquist1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Cholowski1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    N. Bjugstad1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
DETDET014390513431
FLAFLA21201111202337

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    K. Yandle(1)
    E. Dadonov (4), N. Bjugstad (1)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:34
  2. FLA
    N. Bjugstad(2)
    A. Barkov (3)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    16:10

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Cholowski(2)PPG
    A. Athanasiou (2), F. Nielsen (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +16 pts
    1-2
    5:47
  2. DET
    T. Vanek(2)PPG
    F. Nielsen (4), D. Cholowski (3)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    2-2
    6:05
  3. DET
    D. Larkin(4)
    D. Helm (2), G. Nyquist (6)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +18 pts
    3-2
    7:50

3rd period

  1. FLA
    M. Hoffman(2)
    K. Yandle (6), A. Barkov (4)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:44

Overtime

  1. DET
    G. Nyquist(1)
    D. Larkin (3)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 pts
    4-3
    3:44

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·FLA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 5:36FLABogdan Kiselevich · High stickingdrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 5:40FLAMike Matheson · Hookingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 10:39DETserved by A. Mantha · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:26DETThomas Vanek · Slashingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min
  • 16:35DETMichael Rasmussen · Trippingdrawn by Juho Lammikko2 min
  • 19:22FLANick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Frans Nielsen2 min

3rd

  • 1:49DETDennis Cholowski · Ps hooking on breakawaydrawn by Aleksander Barkov0 min
  • 1:52DETLuke Glendening · Trippingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min
  • 15:15DETDarren Helm · Holdingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalDET goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Gustav Nyquist, OT 3:44 — DET 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.23M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.23V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.18V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.16A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.11M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.10J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.10E. Dadonov · Missed · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.07T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.07K. Yandle · Goal · xG 0.07M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.03K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.02D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.02J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lammikko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.02M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.01N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 3.1 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsFLA
2.54 G
All situations
3 G3.1
2.12 G
Even strength
3 G2.0
0.32 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET39%61%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 3.08

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsFLA
31
Shots on goal
37
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/3
Power play
0/5
10
Penalty minutes
6
15
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
10
19
Giveaways
16
22
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
83T. DaleyD000000.08220—25:04
3N. JensenD000-120.06030—24:25
71D. LarkinC112+130.571105624:23
21D. CholowskiD112+150.20000—20:23
51F. NielsenC022-110.032105619:28
52J. EricssonD000-200.06300—19:19
14G. NyquistR112+130.29000—17:39
72A. AthanasiouC011-140.11200017:00
8J. AbdelkaderL000-110.211106016:40
43D. HelmC011020.130025016:27
2J. HickettsD000-110.02010—16:13
59T. BertuzziL000-210.08200—16:01
55N. KronwallD000000.00120—15:19
41L. GlendeningC000-110.070026414:49
27M. RasmussenC000010.01102013:15
26T. VanekL101010.22002—10:30
39A. ManthaR000040.25000—08:24
70C. EhnC000010.090104006:19
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(W)37343.9193.15+0.1563:19

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).