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Winnipeg Jets at St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the St. Louis Blues 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Adam Lowry's goal at 5:51 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 69% to 91%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 4.5 to 2.8; shots on goal were WPG 25, STL 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 3.5 goals saved above expected; Jake Allen stopped 20 of 25 (.800), 2.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (41 saves, .976), 2. Kyle Connor (1 G, 1 A), 3. Patrik Laine (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck41 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    P. Laine1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1100748525
STLSTL010012120142

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    P. Laine(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +9 pts
    1-0
    4:01

3rd period

  1. WPG
    A. Lowry(1)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.16win prob +21 pts
    2-0
    5:51
  2. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +7 pts
    3-0
    6:55
  3. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +1 pts
    4-0
    7:35
  4. WPG
    backhandxG 0.10
    5-0
    11:05
  5. STL
    wristxG 0.14
    5-1
    14:10

Penalties

WPG 8 PIM·STL 4 PIM

1st

  • 3:31STLJay Bouwmeester · Hookingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min

2nd

  • 11:25STLVince Dunn · Trippingdrawn by Patrik Laine2 min
  • 14:59WPGJacob Trouba · Trippingdrawn by Sammy Blais2 min
  • 19:07WPGTyler Myers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 4:49WPGKyle Connor · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
  • 12:03WPGBlake Wheeler · Slashingdrawn by David Perron2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalWPG goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Adam Lowry, 3rd 5:51 — WPG 69% → 91%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.35D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.29V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.25R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.16V. Dunn · Goal · xG 0.14B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.14P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.13P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.13V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.12J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.12V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.10A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.10A. Steen · Missed · xG 0.10R. O'Reilly · On goal · xG 0.10V. Tarasenko · Missed · xG 0.10T. Bozak · Missed · xG 0.09A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.09B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08S. Blais · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.08J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.08P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07A. Steen · On goal · xG 0.07T. Bozak · On goal · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.07I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.07J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.06C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.06D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · On goal · xG 0.05J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.05B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · On goal · xG 0.05J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.04A. Pietrangelo · Missed · xG 0.04V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.03C. Butler · Missed · xG 0.03V. Dunn · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03C. Butler · Missed · xG 0.02D. Perron · Missed · xG 0.02V. Tarasenko · On goal · xG 0.02C. Butler · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.01C. Butler · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bouwmeester · On goal · xG 0.00
STL1 G · 4.5 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsSTL
2.85 G
All situations
1 G4.5
2.13 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G2.0
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG28%72%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.84 – 4.38

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsSTL
25
Shots on goal
42
42%
Faceoffs
58%
1/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
18
11
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
5
10
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000+100.06110—22:53
33D. ByfuglienD000+100.06310—22:31
8J. TroubaD011+100.00212—22:00
55M. ScheifeleC022+220.260003718:07
81K. ConnorL112+250.79002—17:38
18B. LittleC000-110.260104417:21
7B. ChiarotD000000.02310—17:12
57T. MyersD000+220.06112—17:09
26B. WheelerR112020.170126716:50
9A. CoppC000-100.002005016:21
13B. TanevL101+220.21120—16:18
29P. LaineL112+150.44200—15:49
70J. MorrowD000+110.00000—15:35
17A. LowryC101+110.162104115:25
85M. PerreaultC000020.1530010013:08
27N. EhlersL000020.17010—10:31
28J. RoslovicC011+100.050002909:07
93K. VesalainenL011+100.00000—08:12
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)42411.9764.54+3.5459:53

Season series

WPG leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).