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Golden Knights at Sharks
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSN, CBC·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the San Jose Sharks 4-3 in overtime, William Karlsson scoring at 8:17. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Golden Knights led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was William Karlsson's goal at 8:17 of overtime, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 48% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 2.6, SJS 2.5; shots on goal were VGK 33, SJS 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 39 of 42 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected; Martin Jones stopped 29 of 33 (.879), 1.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (39 saves, .929), 2. William Karlsson (1 G, 1 A), 3. Tomas Hertl (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury39 saves, .929
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK0103801213433
SJSSJS0161162703342

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. SJS
    T. Meier(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    6:59
  2. VGK
    C. Miller(2)PPG
    wristxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    9:40
  3. VGK
    A. Tuch (3), R. Smith (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +16 pts
    2-1
    13:09
  4. VGK
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    14:26

3rd period

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.05win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    7:49
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.09win prob +44 pts
    3-3
    18:03

Overtime

  1. VGK
    snapxG 0.04win prob +52 pts
    4-3
    8:17

Penalties

VGK 8 PIM·SJS 12 PIM

1st

  • 14:45SJSMikkel Boedker · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 0:39VGKReilly Smith · Hookingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 5:28VGKMarc-Andre Fleury · Trippingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 7:56SJSBrenden Dillon · Holdingdrawn by David Perron2 min
  • 12:47SJSTomas Hertl · Roughingdrawn by James Neal2 min
  • 14:46VGKAlex Tuch · Slashingdrawn by Mikkel Boedker2 min
  • 18:51SJSMikkel Boedker · Interferencedrawn by Brayden McNabb2 min

3rd

  • 5:45VGKJon Merrill · Cross checkingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min

OT

  • 0:36SJSserved by K. Labanc · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 3:38SJSLogan Couture · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalVGK goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: William Karlsson, OT 8:17 — VGK 48% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.18B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.18L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.14T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.14J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.09T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.07L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.06E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.05E. Kane · Goal · xG 0.05L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.04B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.04E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.03C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.03L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.5 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsSJS
2.64 G
All situations
3 G2.5
1.72 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.92 G
Power play
1 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK52%48%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.48

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsSJS
33
Shots on goal
42
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/6
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
12
35
Hits
44
17
Blocked shots
23
6
Giveaways
13
4
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27S. TheodoreD000-120.03000—26:22
88N. SchmidtD000010.02010—26:18
3B. McNabbD000-100.01510—25:30
71W. KarlssonC112+240.131104122:48
18J. NealL022040.42300—21:47
5D. EngellandD000-110.04020—21:19
57D. PerronL011-110.13100—21:06
19R. SmithR112+130.43112—20:55
81J. MarchessaultR123+270.412001319:49
56E. HaulaL000-130.131105019:44
6C. MillerD101+120.16320—19:33
89A. TuchR011-110.416024219:23
21C. EakinC000-110.013005715:56
90T. TatarL000010.06100—12:57
41P. BellemareL000010.182304312:25
15J. MerrillD000+110.01012—12:20
92T. NosekL000000.002406710:21
28W. CarrierL000000.00400—05:23
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
29M. Fleury(W)42393.9292.49-0.5168:15

Series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).