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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FS-O, FS-TN·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Austin Watson's goal at 7:52 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.5 to 1.9; shots on goal were CBJ 31, NSH 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 71% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 23 of 26 (.885); Pekka Rinne stopped 22 of 23 (.957). Three stars: 1. Filip Forsberg (3 G), 2. Austin Watson (1 G), 3. Kyle Turris (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg3 G
  2. ★★
    NSH
    A. Watson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    K. Turris1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ01311018231
NSHNSH31501012427

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    A. Watson(14)
    M. Fisher (2)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 pts
    0-1
    7:52
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(24)PPG
    S. Hartnell (11), R. Johansen (39)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    0-2
    11:04
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(25)PPG
    C. Smith (26), K. Turris (35)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    19:59

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    J. Anderson(19)
    M. Letestu (14)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +8 pts
    1-3
    7:55

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    B. Dubinsky(6)SHG
    M. Hannikainen (3), S. Harrington (3)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +12 pts
    2-3
    7:20
  2. NSH
    F. Forsberg(26)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +5 pts
    2-4
    19:20

Penalties

CBJ 22 PIM·NSH 14 PIM

1st

  • 10:12CBJIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min
  • 12:41NSHAlexei Emelin · Roughingdrawn by Brandon Dubinsky2 min
  • 15:15CBJDavid Savard · Hookingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min
  • 18:16CBJIan Cole · Holdingdrawn by Austin Watson2 min
  • 19:59CBJserved by O. Bjorkstrand · Bench2 min

3rd

  • 6:37CBJIan Cole · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Hartman2 min
  • 17:10CBJJosh Anderson · Roughingdrawn by Alexei Emelin2 min
  • 17:10NSHAlexei Emelin · Roughingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min
  • 19:20NSHAustin Watson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:20CBJPierre-Luc Dubois · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Austin Watson, 1st 7:52 — NSH 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.43C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.41K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.21F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.20C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.17S. Hartnell · Missed · xG 0.15C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.13F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.12M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.12K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.11R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.10F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.09M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.09P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.08M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.08K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.08N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.07A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.06F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.05R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.05M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.05A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.04K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.04K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.03K. Turris · Missed · xG 0.03R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.03M. Salomaki · On goal · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fisher · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · Missed · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02M. Salomaki · Missed · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.01A. Watson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johansen · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH4 G · 3.5 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
1.92 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.61 G
Even strength
1 G2.4
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.31 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ29%71%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.90 – 3.05

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
31
Shots on goal
27
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/1
Power play
2/5
22
Penalty minutes
14
19
Hits
14
15
Blocked shots
10
14
Giveaways
11
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7J. JohnsonD000+210.00030—23:07
58D. SavardD000-110.04222—22:51
23I. ColeD000-120.09116—20:23
4S. HarringtonD011010.02420—18:29
38B. JennerC000050.393005017:32
44T. ChorneyD000+200.00300—16:41
18P. DuboisC000-120.1322102016:39
46D. KukanD000-120.02010—16:30
26T. VanekL000-140.27020—16:00
55M. LetestuC011+100.000002014:59
77J. AndersonR101020.09012—14:53
11M. CalvertL000-130.21210—14:52
62A. BroadhurstC000010.07000014:47
22S. MilanoL000-100.00000—13:54
17B. DubinskyC101030.372007812:41
28O. BjorkstrandR000-120.06000—12:35
37M. HannikainenL011000.00000—11:25
50E. RobinsonL000+120.15000—11:21
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)26233.8853.07+0.0759:46

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).