Blues at Blackhawks 4-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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St. Louis Blues

▸4

Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV FS-MW, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Blues scored first and never trailed. The Blues led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Berglund's goal at 8:24 of the third period, which took the Blues' chances from 48% to 79%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 2.7 to 1.4; shots on goal were STL 35, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Carter Hutton stopped 19 of 20 (.950); J-F Berube stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Patrik Berglund (3 G), 2. Jaden Schwartz (1 G), 3. Patrick Sharp.

Three stars

★
P. Berglund3 G
★★
J. Schwartz1 G
★★★
P. Sharp

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
STL	110	09	316	435
CHI	05	07	18	120

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

P. Berglund(15)
J. Edmundson (10), K. Brodziak (22)
tip-inxG 0.07win prob +15 pts
1-0
18:17

3rd period

E. Gustafsson(5)
P. Kane (48), N. Schmaltz (31)
wristxG 0.03win prob +30 pts
1-1
8:08
P. Berglund(16)
K. Brodziak (23), R. Bortuzzo (9)
wristxG 0.10win prob +31 pts
2-1
8:24
J. Schwartz(23)
B. Schenn (41)
slapxG 0.10win prob +14 pts
3-1
12:40
P. Berglund(17)EN
Unassisted
backhandxG 0.39
4-1
18:49

Penalties

4 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

10:08Vladimir Sobotka · Slashingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min

3rd

5:11Andreas Martinsen · Trippingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
16:30Patrick Kane · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Pietrangelo2 min
16:30Alex Pietrangelo · Slashingdrawn by Patrick Kane2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

Biggest swing: Patrik Berglund, 3rd 8:24 — STL 48% → 79%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 1.4 xG · 31 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 2.7 xG · 41 att CHI

1 G · 1.4 xG · 31 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.73 G
All situations: 1 G1.4; 2.03 G
Even strength: 1 G1.2; 0.30 G
Power play: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

69%31%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.26 – 1.34

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

35
Shots on goal: 20; 48%
Faceoffs: 52%; 0/1
Power play: 0/1; 4
Penalty minutes: 4; 24
Hits: 8; 19
Blocked shots: 20; 2
Giveaways: 9; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

St. Louis Blues skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
29V. DunnD	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	4	0	—	20:56
25C. ButlerD	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	2	0	—	20:26
27A. PietrangeloD	0	0	0	0	2	0.30	1	3	2	—	20:26
55C. ParaykoD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	3	1	0	—	20:00
6J. EdmundsonD	0	1	1	+1	2	0.04	0	1	0	—	19:15
41R. BortuzzoD	0	1	1	+2	1	0.03	1	2	0	—	19:01
71V. SobotkaC	0	0	0	+1	5	0.14	0	0	2	43	17:21
10B. SchennC	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	3	1	0	65	17:00
17J. SchwartzL	1	0	1	0	5	0.40	0	3	0	—	16:36
20A. SteenL	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	0	0	0	100	16:30
23D. JaskinR	0	0	0	+1	3	0.28	5	0	0	—	16:00
91V. TarasenkoR	0	0	0	0	4	0.38	1	0	0	—	15:53
28K. BrodziakC	0	2	2	+2	3	0.20	0	2	0	47	15:44
21P. BerglundC	3	0	3	+3	5	0.71	5	0	0	25	14:55
32T. ThompsonC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	3	0	0	0	14:02
49I. BarbashevL	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	0	0	38	10:58
22C. ThorburnR	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	0	0	—	10:30
90N. SoshnikovR	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	—	10:27

St. Louis Blues goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
40C. Hutton(W)	20	19	1	.950	1.37	+0.37	60:00

Season series

STL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks

1st period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score