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New York Rangers at New York Islanders

FinalTV MSG+ 2, MSG·Barclays Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Islanders beat the New York Rangers 2-1. The Rangers scored first; the Islanders answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anthony Beauvillier's goal at 7:27 of the second period, which took the Islanders' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 2.8 to 2.4; shots on goal were NYR 35, NYI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Ondrej Pavelec stopped 20 of 22 (.909); Jaroslav Halak stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Anthony Beauvillier (1 G), 2. Jaroslav Halak (34 saves, .971), 3. Thomas Hickey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYI
    A. Beauvillier1 G
  2. ★★
    NYI
    J. Halak34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    T. Hickey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR18013014135
NYINYI082509222

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(25)PPG
    wristxG 0.12win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    4:25

2nd period

  1. NYI
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:55
  2. NYI
    A. Ladd (17), B. Nelson (16)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +17 pts
    1-2
    7:27

Penalties

NYR 4 PIM·NYI 8 PIM

1st

  • 2:53NYIThomas Hickey · Hookingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

2nd

  • 2:04NYRRob O'Gara · Holdingdrawn by Anthony Beauvillier2 min
  • 14:21NYIAnders Lee · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 4:19NYIShane Prince · High sticking double minordrawn by Rob O'Gara4 min
  • 7:09NYRRyan Spooner · Slashingdrawn by John Tavares2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalNYR goalFinal: NYI 100%

Biggest swing: Anthony Beauvillier, 2nd 7:27 — NYI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Nelson · Missed · xG 0.17C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.15T. Hickey · Goal · xG 0.15B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.14C. Clutterbuck · On goal · xG 0.11A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.10C. Clutterbuck · Missed · xG 0.10S. Prince · Missed · xG 0.09R. Johnston · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.09J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.08J. Tavares · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.07A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.07R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.05B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ladd · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · Missed · xG 0.05S. Prince · On goal · xG 0.04R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hickey · Missed · xG 0.03D. Seidenberg · Missed · xG 0.02R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.01N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.01T. Hickey · On goal · xG 0.01D. Seidenberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Davidson · On goal · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.4 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsNYI
2.81 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.81 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR58%42%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.79 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsNYI
35
Shots on goal
22
50%
Faceoffs
50%
1/4
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
14
Hits
26
10
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD011-140.27110—23:18
44N. PionkD000060.23110—22:16
25R. SproulD000-120.08010—21:17
36M. ZuccarelloR011000.03130—19:54
26J. VeseyL000010.15000—19:26
13K. HayesR101040.340004418:39
18M. StaalD000010.08100—18:17
23R. SpoonerC000-140.45102017:30
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.210105017:02
72F. ChytilC000020.261006416:36
89P. BuchnevichL000020.20010—15:54
20C. KreiderL000-110.06000—15:25
46R. O'GaraD000-130.12412—15:17
90V. NamestnikovC000010.14100015:01
58J. GilmourD000-100.10210—14:18
28P. CareyC000-100.00000009:27
50L. AnderssonC000-100.001003309:26
12P. HollandC000-120.0700010008:23
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31O. Pavelec(L)22202.9092.36+0.3658:35

Season series

NYI leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).