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Boston Bruins at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV NBCSN, NESNplus·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Boston Bruins 4-0. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. The Lightning led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 5:01 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — BOS 2.2, TBL 2.2; shots on goal were BOS 33, TBL 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 1.8 goals below expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 33 of 33 (1.000), 2.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Andrei Vasilevskiy (33 saves, 1.000), 2. Braydon Coburn (2 A), 3. Ryan Callahan (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    A. Vasilevskiy33 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Coburn2 A
  3. ★★★
    TBL
    R. Callahan2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS08013012033
TBLTBL01731613436

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. TBL
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:01
  2. TBL
    slapxG 0.02win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    10:59
  3. TBL
    wristxG 0.14win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    14:27

3rd period

  1. TBL
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.12win prob +2 pts
    0-4
    2:34

Penalties

BOS 8 PIM·TBL 4 PIM

1st

  • 8:12BOSDanton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Cedric Paquette2 min
  • 13:41TBLMikhail Sergachev · Trippingdrawn by David Krejci2 min
  • 19:53BOSDavid Pastrnak · Trippingdrawn by Ondrej Palat2 min

2nd

  • 19:04TBLVictor Hedman · Interferencedrawn by Danton Heinen2 min

3rd

  • 6:49BOSBrad Marchand · Hookingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 8:45BOSTim Schaller · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalBOS goalFinal: TBL 100%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 2nd 5:01 — TBL 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Conacher · Missed · xG 0.24N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kunitz · Goal · xG 0.14O. Palat · On goal · xG 0.13J. Miller · Goal · xG 0.12B. Point · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kunitz · On goal · xG 0.10Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.08T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.07B. Point · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.07C. Conacher · On goal · xG 0.07R. Callahan · On goal · xG 0.06B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05A. Cirelli · Missed · xG 0.04A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.04Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.04V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.04M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sergachev · On goal · xG 0.03B. Coburn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Stralman · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.02V. Hedman · Goal · xG 0.02T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.02C. Paquette · On goal · xG 0.02B. Point · Goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01R. Callahan · Missed · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.01C. Conacher · On goal · xG 0.01D. Girardi · On goal · xG 0.00Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.00B. Point · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL4 G · 2.2 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsTBL
2.20 G
All situations
4 G2.2
1.90 G
Even strength
4 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS49%51%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.20

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsTBL
33
Shots on goal
36
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
22
Hits
34
6
Blocked shots
12
11
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-220.05420—21:23
44N. HoldenD000-120.22120—20:16
47T. KrugD000-120.14000—20:15
86K. MillerD000-120.16210—19:22
33Z. CharaD000-230.05100—19:21
37P. BergeronC000-240.310105618:17
63B. MarchandL000-230.28002—17:47
88D. PastrnakR000-110.32002—16:06
48M. GrzelcykD000-100.02000—15:49
12B. GiontaR000030.091005015:40
17R. DonatoC000010.03000015:35
46D. KrejciC000-120.081002914:33
43D. HeinenL000-130.13102—14:21
55N. AcciariC000-120.133006713:35
74J. DeBruskL000-100.00200—13:17
42D. BackesR000-300.003003812:55
26C. CaveC000010.021002911:55
59T. SchallerL000020.152026011:33
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40T. Rask(L)36324.8892.21-1.7960:00

Season series

BOS leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).