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Hurricanes at Panthers
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
FinalTV FS-CR, FS-F·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alexander Petrovic's goal at 12:02 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 52% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 2.9 to 2.1; shots on goal were CAR 29, FLA 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Scott Darling stopped 32 of 35 (.914), 0.9 goals below expected; Roberto Luongo stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexander Petrovic (1 G), 2. Roberto Luongo (27 saves, .931), 3. Scott Darling (32 saves, .914).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    A. Petrovic1 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    R. Luongo27 saves, .931
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Darling32 saves, .914

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR11011009229
FLAFLA2190818335

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    T. van Riemsdyk(3)
    B. McGinn (14), J. Williams (33)
    snapxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:44
  2. FLA
    M. Weegar(2)
    J. McCann (16), D. Malgin (10)
    snapxG 0.15win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    4:03
  3. FLA
    E. Dadonov(27)PPG
    A. Barkov (50), V. Trocheck (42)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +11 pts
    1-2
    19:50

2nd period

  1. CAR
    D. Ryan(15)
    L. Stempniak (6), K. Dahlbeck (4)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +20 pts
    2-2
    13:48

3rd period

  1. FLA
    A. Petrovic(2)
    A. Barkov (51), C. Sceviour (11)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +34 pts
    2-3
    12:02

Penalties

CAR 21 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 14:10FLADenis Malgin · Trippingdrawn by Justin Williams2 min
  • 19:27CARElias Lindholm · Hookingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min

2nd

  • 14:18FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Boardingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 14:18CARRoland McKeown · Instigatordrawn by MacKenzie Weegar2 min
  • 14:18CARRoland McKeown · Fightingdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar5 min
  • 14:18CARRoland McKeown · Instigator misconductdrawn by MacKenzie Weegar10 min
  • 14:18FLAMacKenzie Weegar · Fightingdrawn by Roland McKeown5 min

3rd

  • 13:37CARScott Darling · Trippingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalCAR goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Alexander Petrovic, 3rd 12:02 — FLA 52% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
E. Dadonov · Goal · xG 0.20M. Weegar · Goal · xG 0.15A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.15J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.14J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.13N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.13J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.12J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.09F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.08J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pysyk · Missed · xG 0.07J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.07N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.05M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.05A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.05J. Huberdeau · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.03C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.03J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · Missed · xG 0.03K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.03F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.02V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Haley · On goal · xG 0.02E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.02K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01A. Petrovic · Goal · xG 0.01E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · On goal · xG 0.00A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00M. Weegar · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.1 xG · 43 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsFLA
2.92 G
All situations
3 G2.1
2.92 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR62%38%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.77 – 2.14

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsFLA
29
Shots on goal
35
55%
Faceoffs
45%
0/1
Power play
1/2
21
Penalty minutes
9
14
Hits
29
10
Blocked shots
14
14
Giveaways
13
5
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. SlavinD000-120.05020—24:08
5N. HanifinD000020.26110—21:41
6K. DahlbeckD011+110.04310—20:43
4H. FleuryD000020.09000—20:04
57T. van RiemsdykD101020.24010—19:58
11J. StaalC000+110.042006018:23
14J. WilliamsR011+120.28210—18:01
53J. SkinnerL000-110.271005017:52
20S. AhoC000-120.110004317:46
86T. TeravainenC000-130.41010016:59
28E. LindholmC000-110.081024316:16
73V. ZykovL000010.14000—15:36
23B. McGinnL011+150.7020010015:19
34P. Di GiuseppeL000-120.04110—13:55
7D. RyanC101+110.131106711:43
21L. StempniakR011+110.04000—10:52
42J. NordstromC000000.000005010:35
55R. McKeownD000000.000117—10:11
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33S. Darling(L)35323.9142.14-0.8657:35

Season series

CAR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).