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Rangers at Hurricanes
NHL

New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes

NHL scoreboard
New York Rangers
▸2
Carolina Hurricanes
1
FinalTV FS-CR, MSG 2·PNC Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Carolina Hurricanes 2-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Hayes's goal at 13:23 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 62% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were NYR 20, CAR 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 78% of the time. Henrik Lundqvist stopped 40 of 41 (.976), 2.7 goals saved above expected; Cam Ward stopped 18 of 20 (.900). Three stars: 1. Henrik Lundqvist (40 saves, .976), 2. Jeff Skinner (1 G), 3. Kevin Hayes (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    H. Lundqvist40 saves, .976
  2. ★★
    CAR
    J. Skinner1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    K. Hayes1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR0112504220
CARCAR013012116141

Scoring

3 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    R. Sproul(1)
    P. Carey (7), V. Namestnikov (26)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +17 pts
    1-0
    3:01
  2. NYR
    K. Hayes(23)SHG
    J. Fast (20)
    wristxG 0.24win prob +19 pts
    2-0
    13:23

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Skinner(24)
    D. Ryan (22), K. Dahlbeck (3)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    8:07

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·CAR 2 PIM

1st

  • 4:02NYRJohn Gilmour · High stickingdrawn by Brock McGinn2 min
  • 14:56CARPhillip Di Giuseppe · Hookingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

2nd

  • 13:13NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Staal2 min

3rd

  • 18:46NYRKevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Justin Faulk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalNYR goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Hayes, 2nd 13:23 — NYR 62% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.21J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.19J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.18J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.17J. Skinner · Goal · xG 0.16J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.16P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.15J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.14J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.13E. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.12J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.12J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.11P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.11J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.11S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.10J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.09J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.07J. Skinner · Missed · xG 0.07S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.07J. Williams · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.07N. Hanifin · On goal · xG 0.07J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.06J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.06T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05L. Stempniak · Missed · xG 0.05J. Faulk · On goal · xG 0.05B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.04B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.03K. Dahlbeck · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.03L. Stempniak · Missed · xG 0.03S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.03V. Zykov · Missed · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02B. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.02J. Williams · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.02L. Stempniak · Missed · xG 0.02T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02J. Skinner · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hanifin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Faulk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01H. Fleury · Missed · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.01B. McGinn · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.01K. Dahlbeck · On goal · xG 0.01D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · On goal · xG 0.01P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.01V. Zykov · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR1 G · 3.7 xG · 64 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsCAR
2.32 G
All situations
1 G3.7
1.21 G
Even strength
1 G2.6
0.50 G
Power play
0 G1.1
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR22%78%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.94 – 3.67

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsCAR
20
Shots on goal
41
38%
Faceoffs
62%
0/1
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
23
Hits
17
20
Blocked shots
10
8
Giveaways
16
10
Takeaways
12

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
76B. SkjeiD000000.00420—26:08
46R. O'GaraD000010.03040—22:56
44N. PionkD000+130.12530—21:53
18M. StaalD000+110.10120—21:16
36M. ZuccarelloR000030.710105019:18
93M. ZibanejadC000010.153222917:50
13K. HayesR101020.340023917:40
17J. FastR011+100.0020010016:51
72F. ChytilC000020.281003815:36
26J. VeseyL000000.11100—14:58
23R. SpoonerC000-110.092005014:55
89P. BuchnevichL000-100.00100—14:40
25R. SproulD101010.15020—13:12
20C. KreiderL000020.05010—13:11
58J. GilmourD000010.08022—12:46
50L. AnderssonC000+100.040004511:13
90V. NamestnikovC011+120.10100010:41
28P. CareyC011+100.00210009:42
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30H. Lundqvist(W)41401.9763.71+2.7160:00

Season series

NYR leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).