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Senators at Red Wings
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Detroit Red Wings

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
0
Detroit Red Wings
▸2
FinalTV FS-D+, SN1·Little Caesars Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the Ottawa Senators 2-0. The Red Wings scored first and never trailed. The Red Wings led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Dylan Larkin's goal at 4:10 of the second period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.0, DET 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 31, DET 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Jimmy Howard stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Howard (31 saves, 1.000), 2. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 3. Andreas Athanasiou (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    J. Howard31 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  3. ★★★
    DET
    A. Athanasiou1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT01009012031
DETDET05111111227

Scoring

2 goals

2nd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(14)
    A. Mantha (22), N. Jensen (15)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    4:10

3rd period

  1. DET
    A. Athanasiou(16)
    E. Svechnikov (2), N. Kronwall (20)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:29

Penalties

OTT 8 PIM·DET 10 PIM

1st

  • 2:36OTTMike Hoffman · Holdingdrawn by Joe Hicketts2 min
  • 5:40DETAndreas Athanasiou · Hookingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min
  • 11:10DETNick Jensen · Interferencedrawn by Filip Chlapik2 min

2nd

  • 0:43OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · High stickingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
  • 14:25DETJoe Hicketts · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Chabot2 min

3rd

  • 1:55DETAndreas Athanasiou · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 7:48DETEvgeny Svechnikov · Slashingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min
  • 10:41OTTMark Borowiecki · Holdingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min
  • 18:19OTTBobby Ryan · Slashingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
DET goalOTT goalFinal: DET 100%

Biggest swing: Dylan Larkin, 2nd 4:10 — DET 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.17D. Larkin · Goal · xG 0.16T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.14D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.12H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.12D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.12J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.10J. Abdelkader · On goal · xG 0.09D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.09A. Athanasiou · Goal · xG 0.09J. Abdelkader · Missed · xG 0.06E. Svechnikov · On goal · xG 0.06G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.06H. Zetterberg · On goal · xG 0.05A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.05A. Athanasiou · Missed · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · Missed · xG 0.04D. Helm · On goal · xG 0.04N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.04J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.04D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Ericsson · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · Missed · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.02H. Zetterberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Athanasiou · On goal · xG 0.02J. Hicketts · On goal · xG 0.02N. Kronwall · Missed · xG 0.02N. Kronwall · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · On goal · xG 0.01D. Larkin · On goal · xG 0.01
DET2 G · 2.2 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsDET
2.00 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.20 G
Even strength
2 G1.8
0.80 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT45%55%DET

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsDET
31
Shots on goal
27
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/5
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
14
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
14
8
Giveaways
11
1
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-260.26010—30:04
5C. CeciD000000.00020—23:58
95M. DucheneC000-130.330005321:37
72T. ChabotD000-110.06100—20:22
44J. PageauC000010.001125319:16
68M. HoffmanC000050.35112019:14
18R. DzingelC000-120.10000017:43
36C. WhiteC000010.060007517:06
33F. ClaessonD000000.00010—14:49
74M. BorowieckiD000010.02432—14:32
9B. RyanR000-120.19002—14:28
15Z. SmithC000-110.051003614:11
86C. WolaninD000-110.10000—13:46
10T. PyattL000-110.09210—13:02
56M. PaajarviL000-110.09000—12:27
14A. BurrowsR000020.06010—10:36
89M. McCormickL000010.04200—07:48
78F. ChlapikC000020.202004307:36
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)27252.9262.22+0.2259:44

Season series

DET leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).