Boston Bruins at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Boston Bruins beat the Minnesota Wild 2-1 in overtime, Brad Marchand scoring at 0:28. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brad Marchand's goal at 0:28 of overtime, which took the Bruins' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — BOS 1.4, MIN 1.5; shots on goal were BOS 28, MIN 25. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Tuukka Rask stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 0.5 goals saved above expected; Alex Stalock stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tuukka Rask (24 saves, .960), 2. Alex Stalock (26 saves, .929), 3. Mikko Koivu (1 G).
Three stars
- ★T. Rask24 saves, .960

- ★★A. Stalock26 saves, .929

- ★★★M. Koivu1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
3 goals2nd period
1-03:15
3rd period
1-19:20
Overtime
2-10:28
Penalties
1st
- 10:17
Torey Krug · High stickingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
- 16:52
Brandon Carlo · Holding the stickdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
2nd
- 9:35
Nick Seeler · Roughingdrawn by Tommy Wingels2 min
- 11:42
Jonas Brodin · High stickingdrawn by Danton Heinen2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Brad Marchand, OT 0:28 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.42 G
- All situations
- 1 G1.5
- 1.12 G
- Even strength
- 1 G1.1
- 0.30 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.4
- 0.00 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 1.51
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 25
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/2
- 4
- Penalty minutes
- 4
- 15
- Hits
- 9
- 7
- Blocked shots
- 13
- 2
- Giveaways
- 3
- 5
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
BOS leads 2-0
3@
5Final
2@
1OTthis game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
