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Sabres at Rangers
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
1
New York Rangers
▸5
FinalTV MSG-B, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Buffalo Sabres 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 18:02 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Sabres, 3.7 to 3.0; shots on goal were BUF 44, NYR 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sabres win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Linus Ullmark stopped 10 of 11 (.909); Alexandar Georgiev stopped 43 of 44 (.977), 2.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alexandar Georgiev (43 saves, .977), 2. Jimmy Vesey (2 G, 1 A), 3. Neal Pionk (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Georgiev43 saves, .977
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Vesey2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    N. Pionk1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF02109114144
NYRNYR2103706523

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(15)
    M. Zibanejad (19), J. Fast (18)
    wristxG 0.49win prob +14 pts
    0-1
    16:29
  2. NYR
    J. Vesey(16)
    M. Zuccarello (35)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    18:02

2nd period

  1. NYR
    N. Pionk(1)
    J. Vesey (8), K. Hayes (17)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    3:59
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(27)PPG
    C. Kreider (21), N. Pionk (13)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    8:45
  3. NYR
    J. Vesey(17)PPG
    R. Spooner (28), K. Hayes (18)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +1 pts
    0-5
    14:47

3rd period

  1. BUF
    S. Reinhart(20)PPG
    K. Okposo (28), R. O'Reilly (33)
    tip-inxG 0.12
    1-5
    15:26

Penalties

BUF 11 PIM·NYR 11 PIM

2nd

  • 8:23BUFJordan Nolan · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Spooner2 min
  • 9:17BUFMarco Scandella · Fightingdrawn by Peter Holland5 min
  • 9:17NYRPeter Holland · Fightingdrawn by Marco Scandella5 min
  • 10:25NYRChris Kreider · Holdingdrawn by Jack Eichel2 min
  • 13:28BUFJack Eichel · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min

3rd

  • 4:50NYRRyan Sproul · Hookingdrawn by Nick Baptiste2 min
  • 14:13NYRMika Zibanejad · Trippingdrawn by Kyle Okposo2 min
  • 15:33BUFJordan Nolan · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalBUF goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 1st 18:02 — NYR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.49J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.23J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.21N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.19R. Spooner · On goal · xG 0.13J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.12J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.11J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.10J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.09J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.08J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.06K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.05M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04P. Holland · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sproul · Missed · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sproul · Missed · xG 0.02M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.01J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sproul · Missed · xG 0.01P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsNYR
3.71 G
All situations
5 G3.0
2.90 G
Even strength
3 G2.8
0.61 G
Power play
2 G0.2
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF59%41%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.53 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsNYR
44
Shots on goal
23
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
11
19
Hits
16
10
Blocked shots
7
10
Giveaways
9
2
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55R. RistolainenD000-150.10000—25:34
8C. NelsonD000-320.03020—19:40
15J. EichelC000-240.653225019:16
6M. ScandellaD000-120.18005—18:45
45B. GuhleD000-120.06000—18:21
4J. GorgesD000010.05520—17:34
93V. AntipinD000010.01010—17:25
21K. OkposoR011-210.05100—17:02
23S. ReinhartC101-140.30210016:12
28Z. GirgensonsC000-210.15100016:05
90R. O'ReillyC011-150.500004415:53
22J. LarssonL000020.262106915:23
29J. PominvilleR000040.2810010013:56
71E. RodriguesC000020.420005813:30
20S. WilsonC000-110.16100013:24
17J. NolanC000020.15214013:05
67B. PouliotL000020.13000—12:47
13N. BaptisteR000030.19100—12:27
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35L. Ullmark11101.9091.27+0.2731:15
40R. Lehner(L)1284.6671.73-2.2728:45

Season series

NYR leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).