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Oilers at Senators
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
▸6
Ottawa Senators
2
FinalTV SNW, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Ottawa Senators 6-2. The Oilers scored first and never trailed. The Oilers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Connor McDavid's goal at 5:10 of the second period, which took the Oilers' chances from 64% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 2.6 to 1.9; shots on goal were EDM 38, OTT 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 33 of 35 (.943); Craig Anderson stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor McDavid (2 G, 2 A), 2. Drake Caggiula (2 G), 3. Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    EDM
    C. McDavid2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    EDM
    D. Caggiula2 G
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM11818412638
OTTOTT09013213235

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. EDM
    D. Caggiula(11)
    P. Aberg (11), D. Nurse (17)
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    8:23

2nd period

  1. EDM
    C. McDavid(35)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (20), T. Rattie (2)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    5:10

3rd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(23)PPG
    C. Ceci (14), T. Chabot (15)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    4:43
  2. EDM
    R. Nugent-Hopkins(21)
    C. McDavid (57)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    4:51
  3. EDM
    T. Rattie(3)
    C. McDavid (58), D. Nurse (18)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +6 pts
    4-1
    5:29
  4. EDM
    D. Caggiula(12)PPG
    M. Lucic (24), P. Aberg (12)
    wristxG 0.04
    5-1
    6:34
  5. OTT
    F. Chlapik(1)
    M. Gaborik (10), B. Ryan (20)
    tip-inxG 0.07
    5-2
    14:23
  6. EDM
    C. McDavid(36)
    R. Nugent-Hopkins (21), D. Nurse (19)
    snapxG 0.17
    6-2
    16:40

Penalties

EDM 4 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

2nd

  • 1:24EDMMilan Lucic · Interferencedrawn by Mike Hoffman2 min
  • 7:57OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Slashingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min
  • 15:07OTTFilip Chlapik · Holdingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 16:45OTTBen Harpur · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

3rd

  • 3:43EDMEthan Bear · Holdingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 5:35OTTZack Smith · High stickingdrawn by Pontus Aberg2 min
  • 6:34OTTZack Smith · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalEDM goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Connor McDavid, 2nd 5:10 — EDM 64% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.20A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.17T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.11M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.09R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.08C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.08B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.08M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.08F. Chlapik · Goal · xG 0.07T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.07M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.06B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.06J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.06M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.05M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.05T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.04A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.04F. Chlapik · Missed · xG 0.03A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.02C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.02A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.02M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01C. Ceci · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.01F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.01M. Gaborik · On goal · xG 0.01B. Harpur · On goal · xG 0.01T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00F. Claesson · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT2 G · 1.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsOTT
2.66 G
All situations
2 G1.9
1.85 G
Even strength
1 G1.5
0.81 G
Power play
1 G0.3
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 88 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM63%37%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.56 – 1.88

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsOTT
38
Shots on goal
35
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/5
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
10
17
Hits
24
15
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
16
5
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
25D. NurseD033+340.12230—23:07
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC123+450.561008021:56
6A. LarssonD000+400.00420—21:29
97C. McDavidC224+450.660003120:52
74E. BearD000040.11112—20:22
29L. DraisaitlC000+100.101005018:37
81Y. AuvituD000+120.06020—17:12
8T. RattieR112+420.19200—16:33
18R. StromeC000-120.220007316:16
46P. AbergL022+140.26200—16:13
4K. RussellD000000.00120—15:42
16J. KhairaL000010.011003013:55
27M. LucicL011-110.07002—13:51
91D. CaggiulaL202+130.19010—13:45
83M. BenningD000030.03030—13:26
98J. PuljujarviR000-100.00100—12:47
26I. PakarinenR000010.00000—10:46
58A. SlepyshevL000010.01110—10:11
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(W)35332.9431.89-0.1160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).