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Flames at Golden Knights
NHL

Calgary Flames at Vegas Golden Knights

FinalTV ATTSN-RM, SN·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vegas Golden Knights beat the Calgary Flames 4-0. The Golden Knights scored first and never trailed. The Golden Knights led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Colin Miller's goal at 5:33 of the second period, which took the Golden Knights' chances from 57% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.6 to 2.1; shots on goal were CGY 42, VGK 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 31 (.871), 1.9 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 42 of 42 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Marc-Andre Fleury (42 saves, 1.000), 2. William Karlsson (3 G), 3. Colin Miller (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VGK
    M. Fleury42 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    VGK
    W. Karlsson3 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    C. Miller1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY02001309042
VGKVGK06412013431

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. VGK
    C. Miller(10)PPG
    slapxG 0.04win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    5:33
  2. VGK
    J. Neal (17)
    snapxG 0.13win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    6:26
  3. VGK
    snapxG 0.08win prob +8 pts
    0-3
    13:01
  4. VGK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +3 pts
    0-4
    14:49

Penalties

CGY 8 PIM·VGK 8 PIM

1st

  • 9:49VGKJonathan Marchessault · High stickingdrawn by Mikael Backlund2 min

2nd

  • 3:02VGKRyan Reaves · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 3:02CGYGarnet Hathaway · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 4:31CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
  • 7:18CGYserved by C. Lazar · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:10VGKRyan Reaves · Roughingdrawn by Garnet Hathaway2 min
  • 14:10CGYGarnet Hathaway · Roughingdrawn by Ryan Reaves2 min
  • 17:27VGKJon Merrill · Trippingdrawn by Matt Stajan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalCGY goalFinal: VGK 100%

Biggest swing: Colin Miller, 2nd 5:33 — VGK 57% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.20A. Tuch · On goal · xG 0.17J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.16W. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.15W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.13N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.13D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.12T. Tatar · Missed · xG 0.10W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.09S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.09W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.08C. Eakin · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmidt · On goal · xG 0.06C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05D. Perron · On goal · xG 0.05C. Miller · Goal · xG 0.05T. Nosek · On goal · xG 0.04J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.04J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.04C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.02J. Neal · Missed · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.02B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.02J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.01T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.01J. Neal · On goal · xG 0.01J. Marchessault · Missed · xG 0.01P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00D. Engelland · Missed · xG 0.00P. Bellemare · On goal · xG 0.00T. Tatar · On goal · xG 0.00B. McNabb · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK4 G · 2.1 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVGK
2.60 G
All situations
4 G2.1
1.90 G
Even strength
3 G1.8
0.70 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY58%42%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.12

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVGK
42
Shots on goal
31
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/2
8
Penalty minutes
8
46
Hits
39
10
Blocked shots
11
6
Giveaways
13
7
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-120.12430—24:44
27D. HamiltonD000050.36302—23:26
24T. HamonicD000-320.04410—22:48
13J. GaudreauL000-240.27100—19:12
23S. MonahanC000-310.212004618:00
26M. StoneD000040.04400—17:27
11M. BacklundC000040.166106116:55
10K. VersteegR000030.180002516:22
93S. BennettC000-130.33210015:00
67M. FrolikR000030.05100—14:50
79M. FerlandL000-230.1300010014:50
61B. KulakD000010.02100—14:40
7T. BrodieD000-200.00010—14:36
36T. BrouwerR000020.42510—14:16
77M. JankowskiL000030.153105013:39
20C. LazarC000010.02310011:43
18M. StajanC000000.00300011:19
21G. HathawayR000010.10304—09:11
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)31274.8712.13-1.8760:00

Season series

VGK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).