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Detroit Red Wings at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV FS-D, FS-W·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-2. The Ducks scored first and never trailed. The Ducks led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Corey Perry's goal at 16:42 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 4.4 to 3.7; shots on goal were DET 30, ANA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Red Wings win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Jimmy Howard stopped 32 of 36 (.889), 0.6 goals below expected; John Gibson stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Kesler (1 G), 2. Hampus Lindholm, 3. Andrew Cogliano (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    R. Kesler1 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    H. Lindholm
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    A. Cogliano1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET11119010230
ANAANA1921819436

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ANA
    O. Kase (16), A. Henrique (22)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    6:02
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.37win prob +12 pts
    1-1
    17:14

2nd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    2:48
  2. DET
    wristxG 0.27win prob +17 pts
    2-2
    7:10
  3. ANA
    wristxG 0.11win prob +21 pts
    2-3
    16:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +15 pts
    2-4
    5:04

Penalties

DET 19 PIM·ANA 25 PIM

1st

  • 0:28DETMike Green · High stickingdrawn by Corey Perry2 min
  • 2:53ANAOndrej Kase · Slashingdrawn by Andreas Athanasiou2 min
  • 11:18ANARyan Getzlaf · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 13:39DETLuke Witkowski · Fightingdrawn by Nick Ritchie5 min
  • 13:39ANANick Ritchie · Fightingdrawn by Luke Witkowski5 min

2nd

  • 0:21DETJonathan Ericsson · High stickingdrawn by Rickard Rakell2 min
  • 5:02ANAserved by C. Perry · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 10:06ANARyan Kesler · Slashingdrawn by Darren Helm2 min
  • 19:00DETJustin Abdelkader · Fightingdrawn by Corey Perry5 min
  • 19:00ANACorey Perry · Fightingdrawn by Justin Abdelkader5 min
  • 19:18DETAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Kesler5 min
  • 19:18ANARyan Kesler · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min

3rd

  • 17:05ANARyan Kesler · Cross checkingdrawn by Tyler Bertuzzi2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalDET goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Corey Perry, 2nd 16:42 — ANA 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.54D. Grant · Missed · xG 0.43R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.21C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.18R. Kesler · Goal · xG 0.18D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.18A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.14N. Ritchie · Goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.12D. Grant · Goal · xG 0.12J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.11D. Grant · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · Goal · xG 0.11C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.10R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.10C. Fowler · On goal · xG 0.09R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.09J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.09A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.08O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.07R. Rakell · Missed · xG 0.07H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.07A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.07R. Getzlaf · On goal · xG 0.06J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.06N. Ritchie · Missed · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05F. Beauchemin · On goal · xG 0.05R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.05H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04R. Kesler · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03O. Kase · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ritchie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Pettersson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00R. Getzlaf · Missed · xG 0.00R. Rakell · On goal · xG 0.00
ANA4 G · 4.4 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsANA
3.72 G
All situations
4 G4.4
2.32 G
Even strength
4 G2.5
1.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET55%45%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.61 – 3.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsANA
30
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/5
Power play
0/2
19
Penalty minutes
25
21
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
13
8
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
71D. LarkinC011-140.522103122:37
25M. GreenD101050.57102—21:09
40H. ZetterbergC011+130.230005319:41
55N. KronwallD000010.03130—19:36
14G. NyquistR101+140.3910010019:22
65D. DeKeyserD011+200.05210—19:04
59T. BertuzziL000020.26100—18:48
39A. ManthaR000-210.18005—18:17
83T. DaleyD000-310.16000—17:57
51F. NielsenC000-110.262002717:40
52J. EricssonD000-410.03232—16:53
8J. AbdelkaderL011000.10305—15:52
72A. AthanasiouC000+130.451005015:42
3N. JensenD000010.03000—15:37
43D. HelmC000-210.06110014:57
41L. GlendeningC000-120.361205714:52
77E. SvechnikovL000-100.00100—06:37
28L. WitkowskiD000000.00205—04:50
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35J. Howard(L)36324.8893.41-0.5956:29

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).