Jets at Rangers 3-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Winnipeg Jets

▸3

New York Rangers

FinalTV MSG+ 2, TSN3·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the New York Rangers 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Patrik Laine's goal at 11:01 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals were close — WPG 2.5, NYR 2.6; shots on goal were WPG 34, NYR 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Steve Mason stopped 31 of 31 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 31 of 33 (.939). Three stars: 1. Patrik Laine (3 G), 2. Steve Mason (31 saves, 1.000), 3. Paul Stastny (1 A).

Three stars

★
P. Laine3 G
★★
S. Mason31 saves, 1.000
★★★
P. Stastny1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
WPG	116	112	16	334
NYR	09	010	012	031

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

P. Laine(36)
P. Stastny (31), D. Byfuglien (31)
snapxG 0.13win prob +16 pts
1-0
19:04

2nd period

P. Laine(37)
B. Chiarot (9), J. Morrow (8)
wristxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
2-0
11:01

3rd period

P. Laine(38)EN
B. Wheeler (57)
wristxG 0.41
3-0
19:26

Penalties

9 PIM·

7 PIM

1st

2:15Matt Hendricks · Fightingdrawn by Cody McLeod5 min
2:15Cody McLeod · Fightingdrawn by Matt Hendricks5 min

2nd

18:22Blake Wheeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min

3rd

5:52Mats Zuccarello · Roughingdrawn by Bryan Little2 min
5:52Bryan Little · Slashingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: NYR

Biggest swing: Patrik Laine, 2nd 11:01 — WPG 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

←

attacks

attacks →

3 G · 2.5 xG · 45 att NYR

0 G · 2.6 xG · 46 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.52 G
All situations: 0 G2.6; 2.12 G
Even strength: 0 G2.4; 0.00 G
Power play: 0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

41%59%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.08 – 2.57

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

34
Shots on goal: 31; 55%
Faceoffs: 45%; 0/0
Power play: 0/1; 9
Penalty minutes: 7; 20
Hits: 18; 14
Blocked shots: 18; 11
Giveaways: 13; 7
Takeaways: 13

Box score

every player line

Winnipeg Jets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
57T. MyersD	0	0	0	0	4	0.10	1	0	0	—	24:45
33D. ByfuglienD	0	1	1	+3	3	0.16	3	0	0	—	23:50
5D. KulikovD	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	22:46
44J. MorrisseyD	0	0	0	+2	1	0.06	4	0	0	—	20:41
26B. WheelerR	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	2	2	2	44	17:22
81K. ConnorL	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	0	0	—	16:43
25P. StastnyC	0	1	1	+2	1	0.09	0	0	0	54	16:40
29P. LaineL	3	0	3	+3	4	0.87	1	1	0	—	16:39
18B. LittleC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	2	62	16:25
27N. EhlersL	0	0	0	+2	3	0.33	1	1	0	—	16:07
85M. PerreaultC	0	0	0	0	5	0.26	1	1	0	50	15:57
52J. RoslovicC	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	0	1	0	0	14:22
7B. ChiarotD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	0	3	0	—	14:04
70J. MorrowD	0	1	1	0	0	0.01	1	2	0	—	13:54
40J. ArmiaR	0	0	0	0	0	0.02	1	1	0	—	12:31
9A. CoppC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	1	0	60	12:06
55M. ScheifeleC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	71	10:44
15M. HendricksC	0	0	0	+1	5	0.17	4	1	5	0	10:24

Winnipeg Jets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
35S. Mason(W)	31	31	0	1.000	2.58	+2.58	60:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Feb 113@1Final
Mar 63@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Winnipeg Jets at New York Rangers

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

3rd

Box score