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Senators at Coyotes
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Utah Mammoth

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
1
Utah Mammoth
▸2
FinalTV FS-A, CITY·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Ottawa Senators 2-1. The Senators scored first; the Coyotes answered. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Martinook's goal at 14:08 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals were close — OTT 2.2, ARI 2.2; shots on goal were OTT 24, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 52% of the time. Mike Condon stopped 25 of 27 (.926); Antti Raanta stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.2 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Oliver Ekman-Larsson (1 G), 2. Antti Raanta (23 saves, .958), 3. Jordan Martinook (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson1 G
  2. ★★
    ARI
    A. Raanta23 saves, .958
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    J. Martinook1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT1801204124
ARIARI11215010227

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    J. Pageau(10)
    B. Ryan (18), M. Stone (40)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    3:24
  2. ARI
    O. Ekman-Larsson(9)
    C. Keller (29), D. Stepan (29)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:46

2nd period

  1. ARI
    J. Martinook(6)
    B. Richardson (9), N. Cousins (5)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +20 pts
    1-2
    14:08

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·ARI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 4:17ARIKevin Connauton · Holdingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

3rd

  • 0:30ARINick Cousins · Hookingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 1:23OTTMatt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Derek Stepan2 min
  • 8:00OTTZack Smith · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 10:22OTTMatt Duchene · Trippingdrawn by Brad Richardson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalOTT goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Martinook, 2nd 14:08 — ARI 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Martinook · Goal · xG 0.18C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.14J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.14J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.12J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.09N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.08K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.08J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.08D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · Goal · xG 0.06M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.06J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.05C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.05D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.04N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.04R. Panik · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.03N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.01C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.01J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · Missed · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.01M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.01
ARI2 G · 2.2 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsARI
2.21 G
All situations
2 G2.2
1.61 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT48%52%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.13 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsARI
24
Shots on goal
27
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
28
Hits
35
17
Blocked shots
15
3
Giveaways
5
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-210.01030—27:56
5C. CeciD000+130.08220—22:55
33F. ClaessonD000010.02240—21:04
61M. StoneR011010.16010—20:14
44J. PageauC101040.543104818:55
95M. DucheneC000-110.130045018:02
9B. RyanR011020.4410010017:46
68M. HoffmanC000-120.1800010017:26
72T. ChabotD000-200.00200—16:25
18R. DzingelC000020.261005016:08
15Z. SmithC000010.191023315:33
10T. PyattL000-100.00110—14:19
67B. HarpurD000030.07200—14:13
74M. BorowieckiD000+110.02520—13:11
56M. PaajarviL000000.00010—12:18
14A. BurrowsR000010.05410—11:04
40J. O'BrienC000000.002102009:06
89M. McCormickL000010.02200—08:22
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1M. Condon(L)27252.9262.22+0.2259:03

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).