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Vancouver Canucks at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV FS-A, SNP·Gila River Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Utah Mammoth 3-1. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Daniel Sedin's goal at 11:43 of the third period, which took the Canucks' chances from 48% to 83%. Expected goals were close — VAN 3.2, ARI 3.0; shots on goal were VAN 27, ARI 42. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 41 of 42 (.976), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Darcy Kuemper stopped 24 of 27 (.889). Three stars: 1. Daniel Sedin (2 G), 2. Jacob Markstrom (41 saves, .976), 3. Clayton Keller.

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    D. Sedin2 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom41 saves, .976
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN11001126327
ARIARI014013115142

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    D. Sedin(17)PPG
    D. Pouliot (14), H. Sedin (38)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +10 pts
    1-0
    2:16

3rd period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.07win prob +27 pts
    1-1
    9:18
  2. VAN
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +35 pts
    2-1
    11:43
  3. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +13 pts
    3-1
    14:08

Penalties

VAN 12 PIM·ARI 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:43ARIBrad Richardson · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 3:58VANserved by N. Dowd · Bench2 min
  • 14:49VANDaniel Sedin · High stickingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

2nd

  • 1:34ARIBrad Richardson · Trippingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 8:03VANTroy Stecher · Holding the stickdrawn by Christian Dvorak2 min
  • 12:04VANJake Virtanen · Slashingdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min
  • 12:24ARIJakob Chychrun · Hookingdrawn by Brandon Sutter2 min
  • 19:02ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson · High stickingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min

3rd

  • 8:11VANHenrik Sedin · Hookingdrawn by Max Domi2 min
  • 12:37VANErik Gudbranson · Holdingdrawn by Freddie Hamilton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalVAN goalFinal: ARI 0%

Biggest swing: Daniel Sedin, 3rd 11:43 — VAN 48% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.24C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.21C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.14C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.13N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.13J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.11J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.11C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.10D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.10B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.09D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.08J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.08C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.08M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Goligoski · Goal · xG 0.07B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Domi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.07C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06J. Demers · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.06D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.05M. Domi · Missed · xG 0.04C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.04C. Keller · Missed · xG 0.04J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03F. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · On goal · xG 0.03J. Demers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Martinook · On goal · xG 0.03C. Dvorak · Missed · xG 0.03O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.03C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.03J. Chychrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02B. Perlini · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02F. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Archibald · Missed · xG 0.01K. Connauton · Missed · xG 0.01J. Archibald · On goal · xG 0.01K. Connauton · On goal · xG 0.01J. Chychrun · Missed · xG 0.01C. Fischer · On goal · xG 0.01D. Stepan · On goal · xG 0.01B. Richardson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.00Z. Rinaldo · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI1 G · 3.0 xG · 58 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsARI
3.23 G
All situations
1 G3.0
1.21 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.71 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.81 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 104 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN43%57%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.64 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsARI
27
Shots on goal
42
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/4
Power play
1/6
12
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
26
18
Blocked shots
10
4
Giveaways
10
4
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000010.04020—24:23
44E. GudbransonD000010.02532—21:28
4M. Del ZottoD000+200.01360—18:56
53B. HorvatC000030.420006318:19
6B. BoeserR011+120.22000—17:38
20B. SutterC011+120.312006117:10
27B. HuttonD000020.04320—17:03
51T. StecherD022+220.03202—16:33
5D. PouliotD011000.10100—16:30
33H. SedinC011+100.090023816:19
21L. ErikssonL000020.39000—16:11
22D. SedinL202+120.40002—15:52
18J. VirtanenR000030.15332—15:27
49D. ArchibaldR101+120.79210—15:23
47S. BaertschiL000010.01010—14:41
89S. GagnerC000030.140005614:11
77N. GoldobinR000010.09000—08:50
17N. DowdC000000.00000003:59
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)42411.9763.04+2.0460:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).