San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild
Recap
written from the game dataThe Minnesota Wild beat the San Jose Sharks 3-2 in overtime, Jared Spurgeon scoring at 4:48. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Sharks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jared Spurgeon's goal at 4:48 of overtime, which took the Wild's chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 3.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were SJS 28, MIN 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 38 of 41 (.927); Devan Dubnyk stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 0.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jared Spurgeon (1 G, 1 A), 2. Martin Jones (38 saves, .927), 3. Devan Dubnyk (26 saves, .929).
Three stars
- ★J. Spurgeon1 G, 1 A

- ★★M. Jones38 saves, .927

- ★★★D. Dubnyk26 saves, .929

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
1-014:00
2nd period
2-02:28
2-119:16
3rd period
2-215:16
Overtime
2-34:48
Penalties
2nd
- 8:27
Dylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by Zach Parise2 min
3rd
- 3:15
Marcus Foligno · Hookingdrawn by Dylan DeMelo2 min
- 3:55
Joe Pavelski · Slashingdrawn by Ryan Suter2 min
- 9:35
Tomas Hertl · Hookingdrawn by Mathew Dumba2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Jared Spurgeon, OT 4:48 — 51% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 1.52 G
- All situations
- 3 G3.0
- 1.32 G
- Even strength
- 3 G2.4
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.6
- 0.10 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 91 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 1.45 – 2.88
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 28
- Shots on goal
- 41
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/1
- Power play
- 0/3
- 6
- Penalty minutes
- 2
- 12
- Hits
- 11
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 10
- 0
- Giveaways
- 8
- 4
- Takeaways
- 7
Box score
every player line
Season series
MIN leads 3-0
4@
3OTFinal
2@
3OTthis game
6@
3Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).
