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Wild at Devils
NHL

Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Minnesota Wild
▸4
New Jersey Devils
2
FinalTV FS-N, MSG+·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the New Jersey Devils 4-2. The Wild came back from two goals down. The Wild led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Stewart's goal at 13:04 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 47% to 67%. Expected goals favored the Devils, 3.1 to 2.6; shots on goal were MIN 25, NJD 40. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Alex Stalock stopped 38 of 40 (.950), 1.1 goals saved above expected; Eddie Lack stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.8 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Chris Stewart (1 G), 2. Joel Eriksson Ek (1 G), 3. Taylor Hall (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    C. Stewart1 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek1 G
  3. ★★★
    NJD
    T. Hall1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN0631316425
NJDNJD11816016240

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NJD
    T. Hall(26)PPG
    S. Vatanen (20), K. Palmieri (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +9 pts
    0-1
    10:27

2nd period

  1. NJD
    S. Noesen(8)
    T. Zajac (7), M. Wood (11)
    backhandxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    0-2
    4:17
  2. MIN
    M. Reilly(2)
    N. Niederreiter (7), M. Dumba (24)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    7:28
  3. MIN
    J. Eriksson Ek(3)
    D. Winnik (12), M. Granlund (30)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:25
  4. MIN
    C. Stewart(9)
    N. Seeler (1)
    snapxG 0.11win prob +20 pts
    3-2
    13:04

3rd period

  1. MIN
    E. Staal(27)EN
    C. Coyle (17)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob +5 pts
    4-2
    18:42

Penalties

MIN 6 PIM·NJD 4 PIM

1st

  • 7:05MINRyan Suter · Trippingdrawn by Nico Hischier2 min
  • 9:54MINEric Staal · Trippingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 15:38MINNick Seeler · Interferencedrawn by Stefan Noesen2 min

2nd

  • 5:22NJDNico Hischier · Trippingdrawn by Eric Staal2 min
  • 10:07NJDSami Vatanen · Hookingdrawn by Jason Zucker2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalMIN goalFinal: NJD 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Stewart, 2nd 13:04 — MIN 47% → 67%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.21N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.20T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.18B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.15W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.12T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.09T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.08P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.08S. Noesen · Goal · xG 0.08T. Hall · Goal · xG 0.07T. Zajac · On goal · xG 0.07W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.05S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.05D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.04S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.04K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.03M. Mueller · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03J. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.03K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.03T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.03D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Lovejoy · Missed · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boyle · Missed · xG 0.02A. Greene · On goal · xG 0.02S. Vatanen · Missed · xG 0.02S. Noesen · On goal · xG 0.02M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · On goal · xG 0.02W. Butcher · Missed · xG 0.01B. Coleman · On goal · xG 0.01M. Mueller · On goal · xG 0.01T. Zajac · Missed · xG 0.01S. Vatanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moore · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.01A. Greene · Missed · xG 0.01B. Boyle · On goal · xG 0.01D. Severson · Missed · xG 0.01
NJD2 G · 3.1 xG · 60 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsNJD
2.63 G
All situations
2 G3.1
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN36%64%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 3.06

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsNJD
25
Shots on goal
40
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
15
Hits
16
13
Blocked shots
10
5
Giveaways
14
5
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
20R. SuterD000020.02342—31:40
24M. DumbaD011+210.03210—26:45
36N. SeelerD011+110.04012—18:40
46J. SpurgeonD000010.03000—18:09
3C. CoyleC011+110.000104017:01
64M. GranlundC011020.341205015:59
11Z. PariseL000+120.20200—15:56
7M. CullenC000020.140003315:48
12E. StaalC101+230.530025315:37
22N. NiederreiterR011+130.55100—15:30
9M. KoivuC000000.002101315:25
16J. ZuckerL000-110.27010—15:15
63T. EnnisR000000.00000—14:22
26D. WinnikL011+200.1611010013:50
39N. ProsserD000+100.00000—13:45
14J. Eriksson EkC101+220.101103012:16
4M. ReillyD101+220.03200—11:03
10C. StewartR101+120.16000—08:26
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32A. Stalock(W)40382.9503.06+1.0660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).