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Los Angeles Kings at Florida Panthers

FinalTV FS-F, FS-W·BB&T Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Florida Panthers 3-1. The Panthers scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Anze Kopitar's goal at 0:25 of the third period, which took the Kings' chances from 72% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.2 to 1.4; shots on goal were LAK 26, FLA 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Jonathan Quick stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.3 goals saved above expected; Harri Sateri stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonny Brodzinski (1 G), 2. Derek Forbort (3 A), 3. Aaron Ekblad (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    J. Brodzinski1 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    D. Forbort3 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Ekblad1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK0112916326
FLAFLA18016012136

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Ekblad(11)PPG
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    11:32

2nd period

  1. LAK
    wristxG 0.09win prob +16 pts
    1-1
    3:09
  2. LAK
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    16:03

3rd period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 pts
    3-1
    0:25

Penalties

LAK 14 PIM·FLA 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:39FLAMicheal Haley · Fightingdrawn by Andy Andreoff5 min
  • 2:39LAKAndy Andreoff · Fightingdrawn by Micheal Haley5 min
  • 3:38FLAKeith Yandle · Trippingdrawn by Tanner Pearson2 min
  • 9:55LAKKyle Clifford · Holdingdrawn by Jared McCann2 min

2nd

  • 12:55FLAIan McCoshen · Fightingdrawn by Kyle Clifford5 min
  • 12:55LAKKyle Clifford · Fightingdrawn by Ian McCoshen5 min

3rd

  • 1:07LAKAdrian Kempe · High stickingdrawn by Denis Malgin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalLAK goalFinal: FLA 0%

Biggest swing: Anze Kopitar, 3rd 0:25 — LAK 72% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.16A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.16V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.15A. Petrovic · On goal · xG 0.13M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.10J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.09J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.09M. Mamin · On goal · xG 0.08D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.07K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ekblad · Goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.06M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.06J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.05E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.04J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.04J. McGinn · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.04N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.04K. Yandle · Missed · xG 0.04E. Dadonov · On goal · xG 0.04J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.03N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02D. MacKenzie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02I. McCoshen · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.01V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.01C. Sceviour · Missed · xG 0.01D. Malgin · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.00J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.00J. Huberdeau · On goal · xG 0.00M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.00K. Yandle · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA1 G · 2.2 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsFLA
1.43 G
All situations
1 G2.2
1.43 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.00 G
Power play
1 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK34%66%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.42 – 2.22

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsFLA
26
Shots on goal
36
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/1
Power play
1/2
14
Penalty minutes
12
30
Hits
20
20
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
24D. ForbortD033+300.00300—24:58
8D. DoughtyD000+330.03420—24:15
11A. KopitarC101+130.200104024:07
27A. MartinezD000020.08260—22:15
19A. IafalloL011+120.14120—18:16
6J. MuzzinD000010.04320—17:24
73T. ToffoliC000030.12000017:17
5C. FolinD000010.01220—17:00
23D. BrownR000+100.01210—16:27
70T. PearsonL000+140.39210—15:00
71T. MitchellC000000.000008014:35
22T. LewisC000000.001105014:19
38P. LaDueD000000.00000—14:08
21N. ShoreC101+230.100006312:11
9A. KempeR000010.042022011:57
13K. CliffordL000020.07407—11:02
17J. BrodzinskiC101+210.19110010:37
15A. AndreoffC011+100.003155010:35
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Quick(W)36351.9722.25+1.2560:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).