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Flames at Rangers
NHL

Calgary Flames at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
3
New York Rangers
▸4
FinalTV MSG, SNW·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Calgary Flames 4-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Flames led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Rick Nash's goal at 6:41 of the third period, which took the Rangers' chances from 24% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.9 to 3.5; shots on goal were CGY 38, NYR 36. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 32 of 36 (.889); Henrik Lundqvist stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 0.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Hayes (1 G, 1 A), 2. J.T. Miller (2 A), 3. Matthew Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    K. Hayes1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Miller2 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1822109338
NYRNYR1201828436

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    K. Hayes(12)PPG
    T. DeAngelo (4), D. Desharnais (18)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +10 pts
    0-1
    7:53
  2. CGY
    B. Kulak(1)
    M. Ferland (14), J. Gaudreau (47)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:15

2nd period

  1. NYR
    M. Grabner(22)
    J. Miller (24), K. Hayes (10)
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    1-2
    11:52
  2. CGY
    C. Lazar(1)
    R. Lomberg (1), M. Stajan (2)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    12:37
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(18)PPG
    S. Monahan (23), D. Hamilton (20)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +21 pts
    3-2
    18:27

3rd period

  1. NYR
    R. Nash(17)
    N. Holden (7), M. Zuccarello (31)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +28 pts
    3-3
    6:41
  2. NYR
    M. Zibanejad(16)PPG
    J. Miller (25), B. Skjei (14)
    snapxG 0.12win prob +28 pts
    3-4
    12:41

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·NYR 12 PIM

1st

  • 2:36CGYDougie Hamilton · High stickingdrawn by Mats Zuccarello2 min
  • 6:07CGYMicheal Ferland · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Ondrej Pavelec2 min
  • 14:34CGYMikael Backlund · Trippingdrawn by Paul Carey2 min
  • 18:56NYRNick Holden · Interferencedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

2nd

  • 1:12NYRserved by J. Miller · Too many men on the icedrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 8:41NYRBrady Skjei · Hookingdrawn by Matt Stajan2 min
  • 16:53NYRSteven Kampfer · Trippingdrawn by Ryan Lomberg2 min

3rd

  • 8:50NYRPaul Carey · Hookingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 11:44CGYSam Bennett · Holdingdrawn by David Desharnais2 min
  • 13:57CGYMark Giordano · Slashingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min
  • 18:28NYRKevin Hayes · Trippingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCGY goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Rick Nash, 3rd 6:41 — NYR 24% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.25R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.20B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.20M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.19M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.19K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.18K. Hayes · Goal · xG 0.16K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.15K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.13M. Zibanejad · Goal · xG 0.12P. Carey · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.12R. Nash · Goal · xG 0.11N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.11M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.11J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.10M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.08K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.07K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.06V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.05T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05P. Carey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.04S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.04V. Lettieri · On goal · xG 0.04B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · On goal · xG 0.03K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.03S. Kampfer · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.02T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.02P. Holland · On goal · xG 0.01T. DeAngelo · On goal · xG 0.01V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.01D. Desharnais · Missed · xG 0.00J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.00M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 3.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsNYR
3.53 G
All situations
4 G3.9
1.52 G
Even strength
2 G2.7
1.71 G
Power play
2 G1.2
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY46%54%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.49 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsNYR
38
Shots on goal
36
44%
Faceoffs
56%
1/6
Power play
2/5
10
Penalty minutes
12
25
Hits
22
8
Blocked shots
19
12
Giveaways
15
3
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-100.02212—28:24
27D. HamiltonD011-160.29202—25:09
13J. GaudreauL011+140.25000—22:29
7T. BrodieD000-110.06200—22:20
23S. MonahanC011+110.481003921:31
11M. BacklundC000-170.541024719:27
24T. HamonicD000010.07210—19:25
79M. FerlandL011+110.24102—18:08
67M. FrolikR000-240.29220—17:21
19M. TkachukL101-150.79100—17:01
26M. StoneD000+100.07120—15:27
93S. BennettC000020.07112012:41
18M. StajanC011+110.102007110:04
21G. HathawayR000-110.01400—09:48
61B. KulakD101+210.06000—09:33
77M. JankowskiL000-110.081005609:27
20C. LazarC101+110.08010008:27
56R. LombergL011+110.01200—06:21
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(L)36324.8893.91-0.0958:14

Season series

NYR leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).